Whitecaps II vs North Texas: match statistics
Whitecaps II vs North Texas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Whitecaps II played North Texas in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 11 June 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Whitecaps II: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. North Texas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Whitecaps II scores 1.29 and concedes 2.21 goals per match. North Texas scores 1.69 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Whitecaps II 71%, North Texas 54%. Over 2.5: Whitecaps II 71%, North Texas 54%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Whitecaps II has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.38. Whitecaps II: 12.7 shots per match, North Texas: 11.2.
Match halves
Whitecaps II: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. North Texas: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Whitecaps II: 0-15 (4 goals). North Texas: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Visitors North Texas are the favorites based on superior form: they have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.4 points per game, whereas Whitecaps II have managed only 3 goals and collected 0 points in their last five fixtures. This season Whitecaps II have 18 goals for and 31 against; at home they concede an average of 1.57 goals per match and have shipped 14 goals in the last 5 games, while North Texas have 22 scored and 19 conceded on the season and have conceded 7 goals in their last five. The hosts generate home xG of 1.85, average 13.29 shots per game with 4.71 on target, indicating chance-creation potential, but this only translates to 1.29 goals at home with a conversion rate of 10%. North Texas are more efficient away — 13% conversion and 1.25 goals per game — although their away average xG against is 2.03, highlighting defensive vulnerability; in practice the visitors have recently been more clinical with their opportunities. Considering Whitecaps’ 0 points in the last five versus North Texas’s 1.4 and the visitors’ superior season goal differential, I predict a North Texas win; estimated probabilities: 55% for the visitors, 25% draw, 20% hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick the "Yes" scenario — hosts Whitecaps II have a season BTTS rate of 80% with 0% clean sheets, season averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. North Texas has a season BTTS 38% and season averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, but in the last 5 matches they scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) while Whitecaps II in the same period scored only 3 goals (0.6) and conceded 14 (2.8). xG shows the hosts generate 1.66 xG versus 1.20 xG for the visitors, while both teams also have high opponent xG (hosts 1.78, visitors 2.03), indicating chance creation and chance concession. Hosts average 6.0 shots on target versus 3.75 for the visitors and lead in total shots 13.8 vs 9.63, and BTTS occurs in 61% of league matches — this further supports both teams finding the net. Considering the hosts' season 80% BTTS, North Texas's 9 goals in the last 5 matches and Whitecaps II's lack of clean sheets, I assess the probability of BTTS at about 70% versus 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (Whitecaps II attack xG 1.66 vs North Texas xG conceded 2.03) yields expected 1.85 goals for Whitecaps II and 1.49 for North Texas, totaling ~3.34 goals. With a mean of 3.34 from a Poisson distribution, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is ~85%, ≥3 goals (Over 2.5) ~65%, and ≥4 goals (Over 3.5) ~43%. Seasonal stats support this view: Whitecaps at home have 100% of matches Over 1.5 and 80% Over 2.5, while North Texas have 75% Over 1.5 and 38% Over 2.5, with the league average Over 2.5 at 65%. Additionally, Whitecaps generate 13.8 shots and 6.0 on target at home with a 17% conversion rate, compared to North Texas’s 9.63 shots, 3.75 on target and 13% conversion, which increases goal likelihood. Considering the projected 3.34 goals and the strongest signal for Over 1.5 (~85%), I recommend backing Over 1.5, while accounting for Whitecaps’ recent poor form (last 5 matches: average 0.6 scored and 2.8 conceded), which raises outcome volatility.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Whitecaps II possess a markedly stronger attack: on average 2.4 goals per game versus North Texas’s 1.25, higher xG 1.66 vs 1.20 and more shots (13.8 and 6.0 on target vs 9.63 and 3.75). However, North Texas dominates at half-time — they led in 50% of matches, concede only 0.13 goals on average before the break and keep a clean sheet at half-time in 88% of games; their average points at half-time are 1.88 compared to the visitors’ 1.4. After the interval Whitecaps II score 1.4 goals on average and register 2.2 points in second halves, whereas North Texas score just 0.38 goals after the break, concede 1.25 on average and collect 0.38 points in second halves. These figures indicate the most likely scenario is North Texas leading at the break with a subsequent turnaround by Whitecaps II, hence the HT/FT recommendation 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Whitecaps II | North Texas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
North Texas is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Whitecaps II · 1.69 goals / match - North Texas
North Texas is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.21 goals / match - Whitecaps II · 1.46 goals / match - North Texas
Whitecaps II scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
North Texas scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Whitecaps II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Whitecaps II
Over / Under - North Texas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
North Texas is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Whitecaps II · 1.69 pts / match - North Texas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Whitecaps II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Whitecaps II
North Texas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Whitecaps II | Liga | North Texas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.22 | • 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Whitecaps II 1 - 0 - 1 North Texas. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Whitecaps II vs North Texas?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Whitecaps II 1:1 North Texas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Whitecaps II and North Texas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Whitecaps II won 1, North Texas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Whitecaps II vs North Texas?
Whitecaps II score 1.29 goals per game on average and North Texas 1.69. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Whitecaps II's matches and 54% of North Texas's.
What form are Whitecaps II and North Texas in?
Over the last 5 games Whitecaps II have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and North Texas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Whitecaps II vs North Texas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.