Widad Témara vs UTS Rabat: match statistics

UTS Rabat are slight favourites after a run of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while Widad Témara have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1. The visitors scored 9 goals in that period compared with the hosts’ 7, and conceded 3 compared with 4, giving them a narrow edge in both attack and defence. However, Widad sit 3rd in the table, with UTS in 5th, so league position favours the hosts. Both teams won their only listed match this season and conceded one goal apiece, so the visitors’ advantage is not decisive. The data do not allow a reliable comparison of the quality of chances or of each team’s home and away form, increasing the likelihood of a draw.

In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 60% of games, providing a solid basis for selecting BTTS - Yes. Over this period, Widad Témara averaged 1.4 goals and UTS Rabat 1.8 goals per match; their average xG was 1.06 and 1.45 respectively, showing that the visitors also created scoring chances. Both defences look vulnerable: the hosts conceded an average of 0.8 goals and the visitors 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches. Although UTS Rabat's away statistics show 0.0 goals scored, their recent attacking form and the fact that both teams scored in 86% of their league matches point towards a BTTS - Yes scenario.

In their last 5 matches, Widad Témara averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while UTS Rabat averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. The teams’ average xG over this period was 1.06 and 1.45, respectively, which points toward goals but does not provide a strong basis for predicting at least 4 goals. The Over 2.5 goals line landed in 40% of the hosts’ last 5 matches and 60% of the visitors’, so I consider it a less reliable option. Although the league average is 3.86 goals, the teams’ recent results and xG point to around 2.30 goals in this match, making Under 3.5 goals the strongest pick.

UTS Rabat have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Widad Témara have won 3 of 5; the visitors have also averaged 1.8 goals compared with 1.4 for the hosts. In the available first-half data, UTS were leading at the break in 67% of matches, while Widad led in 40% and were level in 60% of their last 5 games. This gives the visitors a slight edge in the contest to lead at the break, although a draw remains almost equally likely. After half-time, UTS have a case for holding on to their advantage: they have conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match across their last 5 games, compared with 0.8 for Widad. Therefore, 2/2 is the strongest individual pick, but its edge over X/2 is marginal, particularly as the data on UTS’s away performances is incomplete.