Widzew Łódź II vs KTS Weszło: match statistics

KTS Weszło have won 8 of their 11 matches this season, while Widzew Łódź II have recorded 4 wins in 10 games. The gap in form is clear: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, conceding 5 goals, whereas the hosts are winless in that span and have conceded as many as 14. KTS remain unbeaten away from home, winning 60% of their matches and keeping a clean sheet in 60% of them; Widzew win 40% of their home games and concede an average of 1.4 goals. However, the hosts have attacking potential, averaging 2.2 goals at home compared with the visitors' 1.6 away. Chance quality is more evenly matched than recent results suggest: average xG stands at 1.45 for Widzew at home and 1.54 for KTS away, so the visitors' edge does not rule out a closely contested match.

BTTS has occurred in 67% of Widzew Łódź II’s matches and 40% of KTS Weszło’s, but over their last five games those rates have risen to 80% and 60%, respectively. Both teams have scored in every match they have played so far, which points to goals at both ends. The visitors look particularly likely to score, as Widzew have conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game recently, while KTS have an average xG of 1.54. Widzew score an average of 2.67 goals at home, although KTS keeping a clean sheet in 60% of their matches is a significant argument against BTTS - Yes. Despite this risk, both teams’ recent scoring form and the hosts’ defensive problems make the scenario in which each team scores the more likely outcome.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in all of Widzew Łódź II’s matches so far and in 60% of KTS Weszło’s games, while neither team has failed to score. Widzew average 2.67 goals scored, but have managed just 1.4 goals while conceding 2.8 per game across their last five matches, boosting the likelihood of goals from the visitors. KTS Weszło average 1.6 goals scored, and their xG stands at 1.54 compared with 1.47 for the hosts, giving both sides a solid basis to find the net. Higher lines are less certain: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 83% of Widzew’s matches, but only 20% of KTS’s games, with KTS keeping a clean sheet in 60% of matches. Therefore, with a forecast of 2.90 goals, Over 1.5 offers a clearer edge than Over 2.5.

A half-time draw is likely, as KTS Weszło have failed to score in the first half of each of their last five matches, three of which were level at the break. The visitors look much stronger after half-time: over the same period, they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in second halves, compared with Widzew Łódź II’s 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded. Recent results also favor the visitors—they have won three of their last five matches, while the hosts have not won any and have conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game. Caution is warranted, however, as across the season Widzew have won 83% of the home matches considered and averaged 1.83 goals after half-time. Despite this contrast, the combination of KTS’s frequent half-time draws and their stronger recent second-half performances provides the strongest signal for a draw at half-time and an away win in the HT/FT market.