Wigry Suwałki vs Bełchatów: match statistics
Wigry Suwałki vs Bełchatów: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wigry Suwałki played Bełchatów in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Wigry Suwałki: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bełchatów: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wigry Suwałki scores 1.74 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Bełchatów scores 1.67 and concedes 2.15. League average: 3.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wigry Suwałki 56%, Bełchatów 67%. Over 2.5: Wigry Suwałki 67%, Bełchatów 74%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Wigry Suwałki has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.17. Wigry Suwałki: 7.3 shots per match, Bełchatów: 7.3.
Match halves
Wigry Suwałki: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.85. Bełchatów: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Wigry Suwałki: 16-30 (10 goals). Bełchatów: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.38 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wigry Suwałki sit 4th in the table and have won 71% of home matches, recording 15 wins this season; at home they average 2.29 goals per game and their average xG is 1.58. Bełchatów are 14th with 8 wins this season, and on the road they win only 31% of matches while averaging 1.46 goals scored and xG 1.22. Defensively the hosts are more stable — Wigry concede 1.00 goal on average at home and keep 43% clean sheets, whereas Bełchatów concede 2.08 goals away and have 0% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Wigry have scored 7 goals and average 2.0 points per game (form dwwwl), while Bełchatów have scored 9 goals but average only 1.4 points (form wwlld), which indicates greater efficiency from Wigry in key fixtures. Considering the home advantage in offensive efficiency (2.29 goals, xG 1.58) and the visitors' weaker defensive resilience (2.08 conceded and 0% clean sheets), I predict a Wigry victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics clearly favor a Both Teams To Score scenario: Wigry have BTTS at 57%, Bełchatów 77%, with a league average of 64%. This season Wigry average 1.86 goals scored and concede 2.21, while Bełchatów score 1.46 and concede 2.08, indicating offensive tendencies on both sides and weaker defenses. A key signal is 0% clean sheets for Bełchatów and only 21% clean sheets for Wigry; season-to-date Bełchatów have conceded 58 goals versus 36 for Wigry, so both teams are prone to conceding. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS in 60%: Wigry scored 7 and conceded 5, Bełchatów scored 9 and conceded 8, confirming the current goal-exchange pattern. Additionally xG is 1.12 for Wigry and 1.22 for Bełchatów, and Wigry’s high finishing rate (24% conversion) together with over 2.5 rates of 71% and 77% reinforce the BTTS - Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams produce a high number of goals: Wigry score on average 1.86 and concede 2.21 per match, while Bełchatów score 1.46 and concede 2.08, which favors an elevated total. xG metrics show 1.12 xG for Wigry and 1.22 xG for Bełchatów, with xG against of 1.39 (against Wigry) and 1.92 (against Bełchatów); the simple average of these values yields approximately 1.52 expected goals for the home side and 1.31 for the visitors. Since Wigry have higher finishing efficiency (24% vs 19% for Bełchatów) and this season score 1.86 goals on 1.12 xG (difference +0.74), I adjusted the forecast to 1.70 for Wigry and 1.45 for Bełchatów — totaling 3.15 expected goals. Seasonal Over/Under stats confirm the tendency: home matches exceeded 2.5 goals in 71% of cases, away matches in 77%, and the league has 68% of matches over 2.5; the share of matches where both teams scored is 57% (Wigry) and 77% (Bełchatów). Based on this I recommend the Over side and the Over 2.5 line as the best risk/value compromise — I estimate Over 1.5 ≈82% (Under 18%), Over 2.5 ≈61% (Under 39%) and Over 3.5 ≈39% (Under 61%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates Wigry have the edge in the first half: the home side led at the break in 43% of matches, and in the last five games they averaged 0.8 goals by half-time versus 0.4 for Bełchatów. Overall the hosts average 0.71 goals by half-time compared to 0.69 for the visitors, while in second halves Wigry score 1.14 goals on average versus Bełchatów’s 0.77; the home side have also accumulated 16 points in second halves compared to 8 for the visitors (average 1.14 pts vs 0.62 pts). In terms of quality of chances xG the visitors produce 1.22 versus 1.12 for the hosts, but the visitors concede 1.92 xG against them compared to 1.39 for Wigry, and the hosts’ finishing efficiency is 24% versus 19% for the opponent, which favors maintaining a lead. Given the 43% rate of the hosts leading at the break, the second-half advantage and superior finishing, the most likely scenario is Wigry leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wigry Suwałki | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wigry Suwałki is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Wigry Suwałki · 1.4 pts / match - Bełchatów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wigry Suwałki is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Wigry Suwałki · 2.15 goals / match - Bełchatów
Wigry Suwałki scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
Bełchatów scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Wigry Suwałki keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wigry Suwałki
Over / Under - Bełchatów
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wigry Suwałki is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Wigry Suwałki · 1.33 pts / match - Bełchatów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wigry Suwałki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wigry Suwałki
Bełchatów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Wigry Suwałki | Liga | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.07 | 3.38 | ▲ 3.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 20% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BełchatówGoalWiktor Kościuk
- Wigry SuwałkiGoalPrzemysław Modzelewski
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wigry Suwałki 0 - 1 - 0 Bełchatów. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wigry Suwałki vs Bełchatów?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Wigry Suwałki 1:1 Bełchatów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wigry Suwałki vs Bełchatów?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.74 goals per game on average and Bełchatów 1.67. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Wigry Suwałki's matches and 67% of Bełchatów's.
What form are Wigry Suwałki and Bełchatów in?
Over the last 5 games Wigry Suwałki have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bełchatów 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wigry Suwałki vs Bełchatów?
The statistical background for Wigry Suwałki vs Bełchatów — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.