Wikielec vs Bełchatów: match statistics
Wikielec vs Bełchatów: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wikielec played Bełchatów in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Wikielec: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Bełchatów: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wikielec scores 1.21 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Bełchatów scores 1.69 and concedes 2.07. League average: 3.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wikielec 72%, Bełchatów 69%. Over 2.5: Wikielec 59%, Bełchatów 72%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Wikielec has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.17. Wikielec: 9.9 shots per match, Bełchatów: 6.9.
Match halves
Wikielec: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76. Bełchatów: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Wikielec: 76-90+ (12 goals). Bełchatów: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.38 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). Bełchatów scored 49 goals this season versus Wikielec’s 35 and averages 1.43 goals on the road with a shot conversion of 19% versus the hosts’ 8%, giving the visitors a clear finishing advantage. Wikielec defends better at home — conceding 1.57 goals on average with average xG against 1.42 — despite winning only 14% of home matches, whereas Bełchatów has xG against 1.96 and concedes 2.00 goals away, so the visitors’ defense is vulnerable. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 9 goals and average 1.2 points per game, while the visitors have 8 goals and 1.0 point; a lower share of goalless matches for Bełchatów (21% vs 29%) and better conversion favor them. Therefore I assess probabilities of 45% for a Bełchatów win, 30% for Wikielec and 25% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Wikielec 60% and Bełchatów 79%, while the league average BTTS is 63%, indicating matches in this division frequently see goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Wikielec has BTTS 100%, Bełchatów 80%; in those fixtures both teams averaged 1.8 (Wikielec) and 1.6 (Bełchatów) goals scored and conceded 2.0 and 1.8 respectively, confirming a regular tendency to concede. xG for both teams is similar: 1.12 (Wikielec) vs 1.22 (Bełchatów), while xG against is 1.39 and 1.96; combined with 73% and 71% of matches over 2.5 goals this further points to realistic chances of goals from both sides. Seasonal averages of goals conceded 2.13 (Wikielec) and 2.00 (Bełchatów), low percentages of clean sheets 20% and 0% and totals of 47 and 60 goals conceded respectively confirm clean sheets are unlikely. Given the alignment of signals (seasonal 60%/79%, last 5 matches 100%/80%) and a high league goals average of 3.38, I rate BTTS - Yes at 82% vs 18%, as the set of numbers strongly supports goals for both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and opponent xG I expect 1.54 goals for Wikielec (offensive xG 1.12 vs opponent xG from Bełchatów 1.96) and 1.31 for Bełchatów (offensive xG 1.22 vs opponent xG from Wikielec 1.39), totaling 2.85 goals. Seasonal indicators confirm high goal potential: Over 1.5 occurred in 80% of Wikielec’s matches and 93% of Bełchatów’s matches, while Over 2.5 stands at 73% and 71% respectively. In the last 5 fixtures the combined goal output was high – Wikielec scored 19 goals in 5 matches (~3.8 per game), Bełchatów 17 goals in 5 matches (~3.4), with average on-target shots 4.31 vs 4.27, which favors scoring opportunities. Considering the combined xG of 2.85 and seasonal Over 1.5 (80%/93%) and Over 2.5 (73%/71%) rates, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I estimate a 92% probability), Over 2.5 has a solid probability (73%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (48%). Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the best line – both teams regularly exceed this threshold and the xG model supports at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts led at half-time in 43% of matches and score an average of 0.71 goals by the break while conceding 0.86, indicating first-half superiority. After the break hosts score on average 1.14 goals and in 93% of matches record at least one goal in the second half, while visitors concede an average of 1.29 goals in the second half. Additionally, hosts have better shot conversion (24% versus 19% for visitors) and higher average points per home game (1.27 versus 1.07 for opponents), which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. Although both teams score frequently (BTTS 60% for hosts vs 79% for visitors), the strongest signal from the data points to the hosts leading at the break and winning by full-time, hence HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wikielec | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wikielec is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wikielec · 1 pts / match - Bełchatów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bełchatów is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Wikielec · 1.69 goals / match - Bełchatów
Wikielec is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Wikielec · 2.07 goals / match - Bełchatów
Wikielec scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
Bełchatów scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Wikielec keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wikielec
Over / Under - Bełchatów
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bełchatów is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Wikielec · 1.31 pts / match - Bełchatów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wikielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wikielec
Bełchatów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Wikielec | Liga | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.38 | ▲ 3.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 20% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wikielec 0 - 1 - 0 Bełchatów. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wikielec vs Bełchatów?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Wikielec 0:1 Bełchatów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wikielec vs Bełchatów?
Wikielec score 1.21 goals per game on average and Bełchatów 1.69. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Wikielec's matches and 69% of Bełchatów's.
What form are Wikielec and Bełchatów in?
Over the last 5 games Wikielec have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bełchatów 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wikielec vs Bełchatów?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.