Wikielec vs Lomza: match statistics
Wikielec vs Lomza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wikielec played Lomza in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Wikielec: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lomza: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wikielec scores 1.11 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Lomza scores 2.19 and concedes 0.96. League average: 3.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wikielec 70%, Lomza 48%. Over 2.5: Wikielec 56%, Lomza 56%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Lomza has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.57. Wikielec: 10.2 shots per match, Lomza: 10.4.
Match halves
Wikielec: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.70. Lomza: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.41.
Goals by minute
Wikielec: 76-90+ (12 goals). Lomza: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.38 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lomza is the clear favorite: they sit 3rd in the table with a 16-5-6 record, while Wikielec are 15th at 8-5-14. Offensively the visitors have scored 59 goals this season (1.85 goals per away match) versus Wikielec’s 30 goals (0.92 in home matches); their average xG is 1.70 against the hosts’ 1.36, indicating better chance quality. Lomza’s efficiency is higher: 5.55 shots on target per match and a conversion rate of 13% compared to 3.8 and 8% for Wikielec; additionally the visitors concede 0.92 goals per away game on average, while the hosts concede 1.54 at home. In the last 5 matches Lomza averaged 1.4 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Wikielec averaged only 0.6 points (1 win, 4 losses), and Lomza have 38% of away games with a clean sheet versus 0% for the hosts. Considering the advantage in wins (16 vs 8), goals (59 vs 30), superior xG (1.70 vs 1.36) and form, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 65% vs 35% because Wikielec has a seasonal BTTS of 57% and BTTS in the last 5 matches at 100%, conceding an average of 2.2 goals in those 5 games, indicating significant home vulnerability. Lomża has a seasonal BTTS of 38% and only 20% BTTS in the last 5, but averaged 1.4 goals in that period and posts a season xG_for of 1.70, so the visitors have genuine scoring potential. Both teams have similar xG values: 1.78 for Wikielec vs 1.70 for Lomża, and shots on target 6.4 vs 5.55 confirm both create chances. Additionally, the league shows a high BTTS of 64% and an average of 3.4 goals per match, which supports a Goal/Goal outcome, although Lomża has conceded only 26 goals this season versus Wikielec’s 43, so I apply a conservative 65/35 weighting.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and opponent metrics, I expect about 1.59 goals for Wikielec (xG 1.78 vs opponent conceded xG 1.40) and 1.41 goals for Łomża (xG 1.70 vs opponent conceded xG 1.13), totaling 3.00 goals. A Poisson model with λ=3.00 yields probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈80.1%, Over 2.5 ≈57.7% and Over 3.5 ≈35.3%. Season indicators confirm a high-goal profile: Wikielec has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Łomża 77%, and the league averages 3.4 goals per match with 68% of games over 2.5. Home side averages 2.5 goals with 17% shot conversion, visitors 1.85 goals with 13% conversion, which strengthens the over signal. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest line (highest statistical support), with moderate backing for Over 2.5 and low support for Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Wikielec leading at the break and winning the match). Wikielec led at half-time in 7 matches this season (50%), while Łomża did so in only 2 (15%), and the home side score an average of 1.0 goals by half-time versus 0.54 for the visitors. Over the full match Wikielec average 2.5 goals and have a 64% win rate (an average of 2.14 points per home game), whereas Łomża record 1.85 goals and a 54% win rate; the home advantage is supported by xG of 1.78 versus 1.7 and a higher number of shots on target (6.4 vs 5.55) and conversion rate 17% vs 13%. Additionally, the hosts are strong in second halves: they average 1.86 goals in the second half and have a 71% win rate in that period, which increases the likelihood that a lead at the break will be maintained to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wikielec | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lomza is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Wikielec · 1.4 pts / match - Lomza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lomza is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Wikielec · 2.19 goals / match - Lomza
Lomza is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Wikielec · 0.96 goals / match - Lomza
Wikielec scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Lomza keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
Lomza scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Wikielec keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wikielec
Over / Under - Lomza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lomza is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Wikielec · 1.44 pts / match - Lomza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wikielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lomza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wikielec
Lomza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Wikielec | Liga | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.38 | ▼ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 20% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 86% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wikielec 0 - 0 - 1 Lomza. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wikielec vs Lomza?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Wikielec 1:2 Lomza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wikielec vs Lomza?
Wikielec score 1.11 goals per game on average and Lomza 2.19. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Wikielec's matches and 48% of Lomza's.
What form are Wikielec and Lomza in?
Over the last 5 games Wikielec have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lomza 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wikielec vs Lomza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.