Wikielec vs Mławianka Mława: match statistics
Wikielec vs Mławianka Mława: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wikielec played Mławianka Mława in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Wikielec: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Mławianka Mława: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wikielec scores 1.08 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Mławianka Mława scores 1.56 and concedes 1.96. League average: 3.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wikielec 67%, Mławianka Mława 80%. Over 2.5: Wikielec 50%, Mławianka Mława 76%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Mławianka Mława has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.60. Wikielec: 9.9 shots per match, Mławianka Mława: 9.4.
Match halves
Wikielec: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. Mławianka Mława: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Wikielec: 76-90+ (10 goals). Mławianka Mława: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.41 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win, although I expect a tight contest: Wikielec posts higher average home xG (1.42 vs 1.21), better recent form over the last 5 matches (3 wins and an average of 1.8 points per game vs Mławianka: 2 wins and 1.6 ppg) and lower average goals conceded at home (1.55 vs 1.92). However, the hosts are very inefficient — despite 12.63 shots they convert only 7% and score 0.82 goals per game, while the visitors average 9.75 shots with 15% conversion translating to 1.33 goals away. In the last 5 matches Wikielec scored 8 goals and Mławianka 9, indicating similar attacking form. Additionally, the hosts have no clean sheets at home (0% of home matches without conceding) and failed to score in 36% of home games, whereas the visitors have 17% of matches without conceding and 25% of matches without scoring. In summary, the minimal favorite is the home side due to superior xG and recent run, but the edge is narrow and there is a significant probability of a draw or an away win given the visitors' markedly better finishing.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly favor the "both teams to score" scenario: the home side has a seasonal BTTS rate of 92%, the away team 67%, with a weighted average around 82%. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of games each, with goals per game in the last 5 matches averaging 1.6 for the home team and 1.8 for the away team, and an average of 1.4 goals conceded by both teams, indicating a regular exchange of goals. Chance analysis shows the home side creates more opportunities (avg. 18.22 shots and 8.56 shots on target with xG 2.25) than the visitors (9.75 shots, 3.75 shots on target and xG 1.21), while defensively both teams allow around 1.44 xG against (home) and 1.34 xG against (away). Additionally, the home team concedes on average 2.0 goals per match (0% clean sheets), the away team 1.92 goals (17% clean sheets) and the home team has 85% of matches over 2.5 goals versus 67% for the visitors, so I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of about 82%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive metrics point to a high total: home xG 2.25 vs opponents’ xG conceded 1.34 implies home expected goals ≈1.80, while away xG 1.21 vs opponents’ xG conceded 1.44 implies away expected goals ≈1.33 (total ≈3.13). Seasonal averages also confirm an offensive profile: Wikielec scores 1.77 and concedes 2.00, Mławianka scores 1.33 and concedes 1.92; the home side averages 18.22 shots and 8.56 on target, the away side 9.75 shots and 3.75 on target. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals occurred in 85% of the home team’s matches and 67% of the away team’s matches, while BTTS appears in 92% of the home matches and 67% of the away matches, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 fixtures both teams averaged 1.6 and 1.8 goals respectively, with Over 2.5 happening in 80% and 60% of those games, confirming the trend. I therefore recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (I estimate probability ≈96%), while Over 2.5 also has clear support (≈78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a Half-Time/Full-Time draw at the break and home win (X/1). Wikielec has a significant advantage in chance creation: xG 2.25 versus 1.21 for Mławianka and on average 18.22 shots (8.56 on target) compared to 9.75 (3.75) for the visitors. A draw at the break is natural — hosts drew at HT in 62% of matches, visitors in 58%, while the hosts led at the break in only 8% of cases (in the last 5 they had a 20% HT lead rate, 1 out of 5). After the break Wikielec scores on average 1.38 goals (vs 0.92 for Mławianka) and at home they had 100% of matches with at least one goal in the second half, so the hosts are the favorites to take the initiative and secure the victory after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wikielec | Mławianka Mława | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wikielec is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Wikielec · 1.6 pts / match - Mławianka Mława
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mławianka Mława is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Wikielec · 1.56 goals / match - Mławianka Mława
Wikielec is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Wikielec · 1.96 goals / match - Mławianka Mława
Wikielec scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Mławianka Mława keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).
Mławianka Mława scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Wikielec keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wikielec
Over / Under - Mławianka Mława
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wikielec is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Wikielec · 0.72 pts / match - Mławianka Mława
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wikielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mławianka Mława - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wikielec
Mławianka Mława
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Wikielec | Liga | Mławianka Mława | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.41 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▲ 76% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 20% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 86% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wikielec 1 - 0 - 0 Mławianka Mława. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wikielec vs Mławianka Mława?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Wikielec 2:1 Mławianka Mława. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wikielec vs Mławianka Mława?
Wikielec score 1.08 goals per game on average and Mławianka Mława 1.56. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Wikielec's matches and 80% of Mławianka Mława's.
What form are Wikielec and Mławianka Mława in?
Over the last 5 games Wikielec have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mławianka Mława 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wikielec vs Mławianka Mława?
The statistical background for Wikielec vs Mławianka Mława — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.