Wil vs Bellinzona: match statistics
Wil holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The home team records a 33% win rate at home and an impressive 50% clean sheets in home matches, demonstrating defensive solidity on their own turf. Bellinzona presents very poor away form with 0% away wins and a substantial 75% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.92 goals per away match. The visitors' goal difference stands at -17 in away games, which is clearly worse than the hosts' -6 at home. Form in the last five matches is similar (Wil 1.2 PPG vs Bellinzona 0.8 PPG), however, home advantage and direct stats favor the hosts. Expected goals (xG) show a slight advantage for Wil (1.37 vs 1.26), but the key factor is the visitors' defensive weakness away from home.
Wil vs Bellinzona: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wil played Bellinzona in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Wil: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bellinzona: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wil scores 0.83 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Bellinzona scores 0.83 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wil 46%, Bellinzona 33%. Over 2.5: Wil 46%, Bellinzona 46%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Wil has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.27. Wil: 12.3 shots per match, Bellinzona: 11.1.
Match halves
Wil: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Bellinzona: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Wil: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bellinzona: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wil holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The home team records a 33% win rate at home and an impressive 50% clean sheets in home matches, demonstrating defensive solidity on their own turf. Bellinzona presents very poor away form with 0% away wins and a substantial 75% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.92 goals per away match. The visitors' goal difference stands at -17 in away games, which is clearly worse than the hosts' -6 at home. Form in the last five matches is similar (Wil 1.2 PPG vs Bellinzona 0.8 PPG), however, home advantage and direct stats favor the hosts. Expected goals (xG) show a slight advantage for Wil (1.37 vs 1.26), but the key factor is the visitors' defensive weakness away from home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wil | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wil is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wil · 0.8 pts / match - Bellinzona
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wil is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Wil · 1.88 goals / match - Bellinzona
Wil scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Bellinzona keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Bellinzona scores in 42% of matches (10 of 24 matches), while Wil keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wil
Over / Under - Bellinzona
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wil is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Wil · 0.75 pts / match - Bellinzona
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wil - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bellinzona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wil
Bellinzona
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Wil | Liga | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.80 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 54% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Wil 1 - 1 - 0 Bellinzona. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wil vs Bellinzona?
The Challenge League match finished Wil 3:3 Bellinzona. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wil and Bellinzona?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wil won 1, Bellinzona won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wil vs Bellinzona?
Wil score 0.83 goals per game on average and Bellinzona 0.83. The Challenge League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Wil's matches and 33% of Bellinzona's.
What form are Wil and Bellinzona in?
Over the last 5 games Wil have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bellinzona 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wil vs Bellinzona?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.