Wil vs Stade Nyonnais: match statistics

Wil are yet to win at home, but Stade Nyonnais have lost all 4 of their away matches so far, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game. The hosts are significantly more productive in attack: their average home xG stands at 1.47 compared with the visitors’ 1.05 away from home, while they also register 15.33 shots per match to their opponents’ 10.5. Wil’s defence also leaves plenty to be desired, with the team conceding an average of 2 goals at home and failing to keep a clean sheet, which increases the likelihood of the visitors finding the net. However, Stade Nyonnais score just 0.5 goals per away game and failed to score in 50% of such matches. Both teams are winless in their last five games, but home advantage and Stade Nyonnais’ poor away form point to Wil ending that run.

BTTS - Yes has a slight edge, as Wil have seen both teams score in 75% of their matches, compared with 50% for Stade Nyonnais. Both defenses are clearly vulnerable, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.75 goals and the visitors as many as 2.75, alongside xG against figures of 1.76 and 2.12 respectively. In their last five matches, both teams averaged just 0.8 goals per game, but Wil also conceded 2.0 goals and Stade Nyonnais 2.4, which supports the prospect of an exchange of goals despite their weaker finishing. The hosts create more danger, averaging 3.75 shots on target compared with the visitors' 2.5, while the visitors' exceptionally poor defense, with no clean sheets at all, should give Wil a good chance of scoring. The risk to BTTS comes from the fact that Stade Nyonnais failed to score in 50% of their matches this season, so the advantage for the both-teams-to-score scenario remains moderate.

The defensive profile of both teams favors goals: Wil concede an average of 1.75 goals, while Stade Nyonnais concede as many as 2.75 per match. The hosts create an average of 1.18 xG, but their opponents allow 2.12 xG, which significantly increases Wil’s potential to score at least once. Stade Nyonnais score only 0.50 goals per match, but Wil allow opponents 1.76 xG, so the visitors also have a realistic path to scoring. Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 75% of Wil’s matches and in all of Stade Nyonnais’ games, while both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in 75% and 100% of matches, respectively. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as even with the visitors’ limited scoring efficiency, weak defenses and a projected 2.90 goals give this line a clear edge.

A draw at half-time followed by a Wil win is the most likely outcome, as the hosts average 0.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded after the break, while Stade Nyonnais concede as many as 1.75 goals during this phase of the match. Wil also possess a clear attacking advantage: they average 3.75 shots on target compared with the opposition’s 2.5, while their shot conversion rate stands at 9%, against 5% for the visitors. Stade Nyonnais’ defence is the weakest element of the matchup, with an average of 2.75 goals conceded per match and an xGA of 2.12, compared with 1.75 and 1.76 respectively for Wil. A more cautious first-half scenario is supported by the fact that neither team led at the break in their last five matches, while Wil improve after half-time, averaging 1.4 points per match in the second half compared with 0.8 for Stade Nyonnais.