Willem II vs De Graafschap: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, as reflected in the statistics of both teams. Willem II displays solid home form with a 47% win rate at home and only 0.87 goals conceded on average per match, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. De Graafschap boasts a better offensive efficiency away from home (1.8 goals on average per match) and an identical away win percentage (47%), but their defense is a cause for concern – they concede 1.53 goals on average per match and have only a 7% clean sheet rate. Recent form from the last five matches slightly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), but the goal difference advantage in their respective conditions is minimal (6 vs 4). Considering the high average of total goals in De Graafschap's away matches (3.33) and the similar xG indicators of both teams, I expect an exciting, open match with a slight home advantage, which could end in a draw.
Willem II vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Willem II play De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 18:45. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Willem II: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. De Graafschap: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Willem II scores 1.55 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. De Graafschap scores 1.95 and concedes 1.53. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Willem II 55%, De Graafschap 71%. Over 2.5: Willem II 55%, De Graafschap 66%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.68. Willem II: 14.6 shots per match, De Graafschap: 17.7.
Match halves
Willem II: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.71. De Graafschap: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Willem II: 16-30 (14 goals). De Graafschap: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The match promises to be extremely balanced, as reflected in the statistics of both teams. Willem II displays solid home form with a 47% win rate at home and only 0.87 goals conceded on average per match, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. De Graafschap boasts a better offensive efficiency away from home (1.8 goals on average per match) and an identical away win percentage (47%), but their defense is a cause for concern – they concede 1.53 goals on average per match and have only a 7% clean sheet rate. Recent form from the last five matches slightly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), but the goal difference advantage in their respective conditions is minimal (6 vs 4). Considering the high average of total goals in De Graafschap's away matches (3.33) and the similar xG indicators of both teams, I expect an exciting, open match with a slight home advantage, which could end in a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Willem II | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Willem II is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Willem II · 1.6 pts / match - De Graafschap
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Willem II · 1.95 goals / match - De Graafschap
Willem II is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Willem II · 1.53 goals / match - De Graafschap
Willem II scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
De Graafschap scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Willem II
Over / Under — De Graafschap
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Willem II
De Graafschap
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Willem II | Liga | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.66 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 63% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 86% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Willem II 0 - 1 - 0 De Graafschap. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Willem II vs De Graafschap?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Willem II 0:2 De Graafschap. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs De Graafschap?
Willem II score 1.55 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 1.95. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Willem II's matches and 71% of De Graafschap's.
What form are Willem II and De Graafschap in?
Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and De Graafschap 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs De Graafschap?
The statistical background for Willem II vs De Graafschap — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.