Willem II vs De Graafschap: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, as reflected in the statistics of both teams. Willem II displays solid home form with a 47% win rate at home and only 0.87 goals conceded on average per match, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. De Graafschap boasts a better offensive efficiency away from home (1.8 goals on average per match) and an identical away win percentage (47%), but their defense is a cause for concern – they concede 1.53 goals on average per match and have only a 7% clean sheet rate. Recent form from the last five matches slightly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), but the goal difference advantage in their respective conditions is minimal (6 vs 4). Considering the high average of total goals in De Graafschap's away matches (3.33) and the similar xG indicators of both teams, I expect an exciting, open match with a slight home advantage, which could end in a draw.
Willem II vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Willem II played De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Willem II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. De Graafschap: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Willem II scores 1.56 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. De Graafschap scores 1.84 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Willem II 59%, De Graafschap 75%. Over 2.5: Willem II 56%, De Graafschap 66%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.69. Willem II: 14.7 shots per match, De Graafschap: 18.0.
Match halves
Willem II: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75. De Graafschap: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Willem II: 16-30 (12 goals). De Graafschap: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, as reflected in the statistics of both teams. Willem II displays solid home form with a 47% win rate at home and only 0.87 goals conceded on average per match, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. De Graafschap boasts a better offensive efficiency away from home (1.8 goals on average per match) and an identical away win percentage (47%), but their defense is a cause for concern – they concede 1.53 goals on average per match and have only a 7% clean sheet rate. Recent form from the last five matches slightly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), but the goal difference advantage in their respective conditions is minimal (6 vs 4). Considering the high average of total goals in De Graafschap's away matches (3.33) and the similar xG indicators of both teams, I expect an exciting, open match with a slight home advantage, which could end in a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data strongly supports BTTS: Willem II has a 76% BTTS rate, and De Graafschap 73%, with simultaneously low clean sheet percentages (18% vs 7%). Both teams generate high offensive values (xG for: 2.22 hosts, 1.84 visitors) and many shots on target (7.88 vs 6.33), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Defensively, both teams concede a lot (average conceded: 1.65 and 1.53; xG against: 1.70 and 1.89), so a scenario with the opponent scoring is statistically frequent. Although Willem II in their last 5 matches conceded little (0.6 goals per game) and BTTS occurred in 40% of those, De Graafschap recently has an 80% BTTS rate and concedes an average of 2.0 goals, which favors a match with an exchange of blows. High Over 2.5 rates (65% and 67%) additionally correlate with BTTS, strengthening the 'yes' pick as the most probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal data strongly supports a goals scenario: Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 88% of Willem II matches and 87% of De Graafschap matches, with BTTS percentages very high (76% and 73%). The home team's offensive profile is clear in their creation metrics: an xG for of 2.22 along with a very high number of total shots (19.94) and shots on target (7.88), which increases the likelihood of at least 2 goals in the match. De Graafschap regularly allows opponents into dangerous situations (xG against 1.89) and very frequently concedes (conceded over 0.5 goals: 93%), averaging 2.0 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. Simultaneously, the visitors have the potential to contribute their own goal (xG for 1.84; season average 1.8 goals/match), boosting the overall projection to around 3.6 total goals. The 2.5 and 3.5 lines are also supported (Over 2.5: 65–67%, Over 3.5: 47–53%), but the strongest and most reliable signal comes from Over 1.5 goals. The league average of 3.2 goals further confirms a favorable environment for the over market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Willem II has a clearer offensive potential in qualitative data: higher xG per match (2.22 vs 1.84) and more shots and shots on target (19.94 and 7.88 vs 15.8 and 6.33), which increases the chance of leading at the break and maintaining the advantage. The trend of the last 5 matches supports the hosts (PPG 2.0, 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded) against the weaker defense of De Graafschap (2.0 conceded per match). HT statistics indicate that Willem II often starts strong (leading at the break 47%, and in the last5 up to 60%) with a low percentage of the visitors trailing at the break (13%), which still favors the home team leading at half-time scenario. After the break, the hosts have higher goal production (1.06 goals in the second half) and a very strong 46–60 minute segment (10 goals), while De Graafschap in this period hardly scores (1 goal) and concedes (4), supporting the maintenance of the win. High BTTS rates for both teams (76% and 73%) suggest a risk of a goal for the visitors, but the creative advantage and current defensive form of Willem II shift the safest choice to 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Willem II | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Willem II is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Willem II · 1.4 pts / match - De Graafschap
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Willem II · 1.84 goals / match - De Graafschap
Willem II is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Willem II · 1.59 goals / match - De Graafschap
Willem II scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 32 matches).
De Graafschap scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Willem II
Over / Under - De Graafschap
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Willem II
De Graafschap
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Willem II | Liga | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 20% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Willem II 0 - 1 - 0 De Graafschap. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Willem II vs De Graafschap?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Willem II 0:2 De Graafschap. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs De Graafschap?
Willem II score 1.56 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 1.84. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Willem II's matches and 75% of De Graafschap's.
What form are Willem II and De Graafschap in?
Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and De Graafschap 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs De Graafschap?
The statistical background for Willem II vs De Graafschap — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.