Netherlands - EredivisieKoning Willem II StadionData current as of 18 September 2026

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Willem II play Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion.

Current form

Willem II: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Fortuna Sittard: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Willem II scores 1.00 and concedes 3.17 goals per match. Fortuna Sittard scores 2.00 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Willem II 83%, Fortuna Sittard 83%. Over 2.5: Willem II 83%, Fortuna Sittard 83%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 80%.

xG, shots and style

Willem II has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.09. Willem II: 11.3 shots per match, Fortuna Sittard: 9.0.

Match halves

Willem II: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83. Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Willem II: 76-90+ (4 goals). Fortuna Sittard: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.94 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 80%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Willem IIFortuna Sittard
1Goals scored / match2
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
3.17Goals conceded / match2.33
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
37%Average possession33%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
2.67Shots on target / match4.83
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.33Shots per match9
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
2.67Shots on target4.83
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
8.8%Shot conversion22.2%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
37%Possession33%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
1.14xG for1.09
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
2.44xG against2.43
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

Shooting quality

Willem II: BalancedFortuna Sittard: Counter-attacking
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
Accuracy (shots on target)24%54%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortuna Sittard is 350% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Willem II · 1.8 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard

Willem II
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-4
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 2.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Fortuna Sittard
WLWWL
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 2.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fortuna Sittard is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Willem II · 2 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

3.17 goals / match - Willem II · 2.33 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard

Willem II scoring profile: very strong

Willem II scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Fortuna Sittard scoring profile: very strong

Fortuna Sittard scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

6Goals scored (season)12
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
19Goals conceded (season)14
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
4.17Average goals in match4.33
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
5Goals scored (last 5)10
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
15Goals conceded (last 5)12
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
17%2 goals67%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
0%3 goals50%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
0%4 goals0%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
83%2 goals83%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
67%3 goals17%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
50%4 goals17%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

74%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
0%Scored in both halves67%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
80%BTTS - last 580%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortuna Sittard is 558% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.33 pts / match - Willem II · 2.17 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard

Willem II - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing
Fortuna Sittard - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.33Points per match (1st half)2.17
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
0.17Goals scored (1st half)1.17
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
1.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.67
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
17%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
83%No goal before half-time33%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)0.67
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
2Goals conceded (2nd half)1.83
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
2.83Average goals (2nd half)2.67
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
17%Clean sheet after half-time17%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard
33%No goal after half-time17%
Willem IIFortuna Sittard

Willem II - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortuna Sittard - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.3

Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Willem II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.80
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.8
Average goals in match1.22.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-6-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Fortuna Sittard - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Willem II
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
5
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
8
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Fortuna Sittard
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 2.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
83%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Willem II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

Fortuna Sittard

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.91
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

Willem IILigaFortuna Sittard
Average goals in match 4.173.94 4.33
Both teams scored 83%74% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%80% 83%
Clean sheets 0%14% 0%
Goal before half-time 83%80% 83%
Goal after half-time 100%94% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.94
Average goals per match
74%
Both teams scored
80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
14%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
2.24
Away goals / match
+-24%
Home attack advantage
+-32%
Home defence advantage
+-18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
94%
1 goal
74%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
22%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Willem II and Fortuna Sittard play?

Willem II face Fortuna Sittard on 19 September 2026 in Eredivisie at Koning Willem II Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

Willem II score 1.00 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 2.00. The Eredivisie average is 3.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 80% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Willem II's matches and 83% of Fortuna Sittard's.

What form are Willem II and Fortuna Sittard in?

Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

The statistical background for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.