Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which is confirmed by both teams' identical goal difference (+3) in their matches. Willem II shows solid home form with a 45% win rate and an average of 1.18 goals per match, however, RKC Waalwijk is more effective away, scoring an average of 1.75 goals with a 42% win rate. The key factor is the visitors' higher shot conversion (12% vs 7%) and better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The xG values are similar, further highlighting the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account both teams' statistics and the fact that the hosts have a tendency to draw (27% of home matches), the most probable outcome seems to be a draw, although a slight home advantage stems from playing on their own turf.
Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Willem II played RKC Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Willem II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. RKC Waalwijk: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Willem II scores 1.33 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. RKC Waalwijk scores 1.68 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Willem II 63%, RKC Waalwijk 72%. Over 2.5: Willem II 54%, RKC Waalwijk 60%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
RKC Waalwijk has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.64. Willem II: 14.1 shots per match, RKC Waalwijk: 15.0.
Match halves
Willem II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Willem II: 76-90+ (9 goals). RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which is confirmed by both teams' identical goal difference (+3) in their matches. Willem II shows solid home form with a 45% win rate and an average of 1.18 goals per match, however, RKC Waalwijk is more effective away, scoring an average of 1.75 goals with a 42% win rate. The key factor is the visitors' higher shot conversion (12% vs 7%) and better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The xG values are similar, further highlighting the balanced nature of the encounter. Taking into account both teams' statistics and the fact that the hosts have a tendency to draw (27% of home matches), the most probable outcome seems to be a draw, although a slight home advantage stems from playing on their own turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Willem II | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RKC Waalwijk is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Willem II · 2.2 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RKC Waalwijk is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Willem II · 1.68 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk
Willem II is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Willem II · 1.52 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk
Willem II scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
RKC Waalwijk scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Willem II
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RKC Waalwijk is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - Willem II · 1.64 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Willem II
RKC Waalwijk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Willem II | Liga | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.31 | ▼ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 63% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 86% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Willem II 1 - 0 - 0 RKC Waalwijk. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Willem II 2:1 RKC Waalwijk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?
Willem II score 1.33 goals per game on average and RKC Waalwijk 1.68. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Willem II's matches and 72% of RKC Waalwijk's.
What form are Willem II and RKC Waalwijk in?
Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and RKC Waalwijk 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk?
The statistical background for Willem II vs RKC Waalwijk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.