Willem II vs Vitesse: match statistics
Willem II displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+4). The hosts have won three of their last five matches, scoring eight goals while conceding only five. Vitesse performs significantly worse in away matches, conceding an average of 1.62 goals per game and recording only a 31% win rate on the road. The visitors' recent form is inconsistent with three draws in five matches and a negative goal difference (-1) in away games. Willem II boasts better expected goals (xG 1.87 vs 1.63) and higher ball possession (53% vs 48%), which gives them an edge in this clash. Considering all factors, the hosts have a genuine chance of victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Vitesse's tendency to share points away from home.
Willem II vs Vitesse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Willem II played Vitesse in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Willem II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Vitesse: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Willem II scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Vitesse scores 1.52 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Willem II 65%, Vitesse 70%. Over 2.5: Willem II 54%, Vitesse 70%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Willem II has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.61. Willem II: 14.2 shots per match, Vitesse: 14.8.
Match halves
Willem II: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Vitesse: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Willem II: 76-90+ (11 goals). Vitesse: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Willem II displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+4). The hosts have won three of their last five matches, scoring eight goals while conceding only five. Vitesse performs significantly worse in away matches, conceding an average of 1.62 goals per game and recording only a 31% win rate on the road. The visitors' recent form is inconsistent with three draws in five matches and a negative goal difference (-1) in away games. Willem II boasts better expected goals (xG 1.87 vs 1.63) and higher ball possession (53% vs 48%), which gives them an edge in this clash. Considering all factors, the hosts have a genuine chance of victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Vitesse's tendency to share points away from home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Willem II | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Willem II is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Willem II · 1.2 pts / match - Vitesse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vitesse is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Willem II · 1.52 goals / match - Vitesse
Willem II is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Willem II · 1.56 goals / match - Vitesse
Willem II scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Vitesse keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Vitesse scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Willem II
Over / Under - Vitesse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Willem II is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Willem II · 1.37 pts / match - Vitesse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vitesse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Willem II
Vitesse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Willem II | Liga | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 3.27 | ▼ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 86% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Willem II 1 - 0 - 0 Vitesse. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Willem II vs Vitesse?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Willem II 3:0 Vitesse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Willem II vs Vitesse?
Willem II score 1.35 goals per game on average and Vitesse 1.52. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Willem II's matches and 70% of Vitesse's.
What form are Willem II and Vitesse in?
Over the last 5 games Willem II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vitesse 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Willem II vs Vitesse?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Willem II vs Vitesse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.