Winterthur vs Thun: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Winterthur played Thun in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 16 December 2025. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Winterthur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Thun: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Winterthur scores 1.29 and concedes 2.71 goals per match. Thun scores 1.82 and concedes 1.18. League average: 3.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Winterthur 65%, Thun 65%. Over 2.5: Winterthur 88%, Thun 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 68%.

xG, shots and style

Thun has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.31. Winterthur: 12.1 shots per match, Thun: 18.1.

Match halves

Winterthur: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88. Thun: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Winterthur: 61-75 (6 goals). Thun: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 68%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 3
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
WinterthurThun
6Shots27
WinterthurThun
1Shots on target9
WinterthurThun
0.64xG2.7
WinterthurThun
3Corners5
WinterthurThun
25Dangerous attacks54
WinterthurThun
14Fouls16
WinterthurThun
7Cards1
WinterthurThun

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.29Goals scored / match1.82
WinterthurThun
2.71Goals conceded / match1.18
WinterthurThun
45%Average possession45%
WinterthurThun
4.18Shots on target / match5.53
WinterthurThun

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.06Shots per match18.06
WinterthurThun
4.18Shots on target5.53
WinterthurThun
10.7%Shot conversion10.1%
WinterthurThun
45%Possession45%
WinterthurThun
1.31xG for1.91
WinterthurThun
2.14xG against1.62
WinterthurThun

Shooting quality

Winterthur: BalancedThun: Attacking
WinterthurThun
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Thun is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Winterthur · 1.2 pts / match - Thun

Winterthur
LLWLD
Season result split
12% W24% D65% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-11
0.59 pts / match · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 2.20BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Thun
WLLWL
Season result split
65% W6% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-1-5
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-0-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.07Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Thun is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.82 goals / match - Thun

Thun is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.71 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.18 goals / match - Thun

Winterthur scoring profile: strong

Winterthur scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

Thun scoring profile: very strong

Thun scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 17 matches).

22Goals scored (season)31
WinterthurThun
46Goals conceded (season)20
WinterthurThun
4Average goals in match3
WinterthurThun
6Goals scored (last 5)6
WinterthurThun
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
WinterthurThun

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal88%
WinterthurThun
47%2 goals59%
WinterthurThun
12%3 goals24%
WinterthurThun
6%4 goals12%
WinterthurThun

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal76%
WinterthurThun
82%2 goals24%
WinterthurThun
53%3 goals12%
WinterthurThun
24%4 goals6%
WinterthurThun

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time24%
WinterthurThun
0%BTTS in both halves0%
WinterthurThun
29%Scored in both halves41%
WinterthurThun

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
WinterthurThun
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
WinterthurThun
60%BTTS - last 540%
WinterthurThun

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
WinterthurThun
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
WinterthurThun
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
WinterthurThun

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
WinterthurThun
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
WinterthurThun
41%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
WinterthurThun

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Thun is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Winterthur · 1.59 pts / match - Thun

Winterthur - half-time state
24% leading18% draw59% trailing
Thun - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1.59
WinterthurThun
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.88
WinterthurThun
1.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
WinterthurThun
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.47
WinterthurThun
35%Clean sheet before half-time53%
WinterthurThun
65%No goal before half-time47%
WinterthurThun

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.76
WinterthurThun
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
WinterthurThun
1.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
WinterthurThun
2.35Average goals (2nd half)1.53
WinterthurThun
24%Clean sheet after half-time59%
WinterthurThun
41%No goal after half-time24%
WinterthurThun

Winterthur - second-half results

29% W12% D59% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Thun - second-half results

47% W35% D18% L
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding159%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Winterthur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Thun - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Winterthur
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
3
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
10
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Thun
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
7
0
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Winterthur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
194%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Thun

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

WinterthurLigaThun
Average goals in match 4.003.22 3.00
Both teams scored 65%63% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 88%68% 71%
Clean sheets 0%22% 24%
Goal before half-time 88%76% 76%
Goal after half-time 94%80% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. WinterthurSubstitutionOn: Elias MaluvunuOff: Théo Golliard
  2. WinterthurYellow cardLuca Zuffi
  3. WinterthurRed cardRemo Arnold
  4. ThunYellow cardLeonardo Bertone
  5. WinterthurGoalAndrin HunzikerAssist: Souleymane Diaby
  6. WinterthurYellow cardBafodé Dansoko
  7. ThunGoalJustin Roth
  8. WinterthurYellow cardMarvin Martins Santos da Graça
  9. ThunSubstitutionOn: Kastriot ImeriOff: Franz-Ethan Meichtry
  10. WinterthurYellow cardRoman Buess
  11. WinterthurYellow cardStefanos Kapino

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Winterthur 0 - 0 - 1 Thun. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FC Thun
3 : 0
FC Winterthur

FAQ

What was the result of Winterthur vs Thun?

The Super League match finished Winterthur 1:4 Thun. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Winterthur vs Thun?

Winterthur score 1.29 goals per game on average and Thun 1.82. The Super League average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Winterthur's matches and 65% of Thun's.

What form are Winterthur and Thun in?

Over the last 5 games Winterthur have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Thun 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Winterthur vs Thun?

The statistical background for Winterthur vs Thun — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.