Winterthur vs Zürich: match statistics
Winterthur vs Zürich: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Winterthur played Zürich in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Winterthur: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Zürich: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Winterthur scores 1.12 and concedes 2.68 goals per match. Zürich scores 1.32 and concedes 1.94. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Winterthur 68%, Zürich 68%. Over 2.5: Winterthur 76%, Zürich 79%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Zürich has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.31. Winterthur: 11.5 shots per match, Zürich: 12.9.
Match halves
Winterthur: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65. Zürich: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Winterthur: 31-45+ (9 goals). Zürich: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zürich are slight favorites due to a superior season record: 10 wins versus Winterthur’s 4 and a higher league position (10 vs 12), with 45 goals scored compared to the hosts’ 38. The visitors also display better defensive numbers on the road — conceding 1.94 goals per away match versus Winterthur’s 2.31 at home, and an away win rate of 24% compared to the hosts’ 13% home win rate. The home side, however, shows marginally better offensive metrics at home: average xG 1.38 vs 1.29 for the visitors, 12.31 shots per match and 4.25 on target versus 10.71 and 3.94, and more goals in the last 5 matches (6 vs 4), so I expect goals from both teams. Both squads are in poor form (1 win in the last 5 and 0.6 points per match) and have 0% clean sheets, which points to an open, goal-prone game, albeit with Zürich holding the edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a high rate of matches with both sides scoring: Winterthur 71% and Zürich 65%, versus a league average of 67%, which strongly supports BTTS - Yes. Both teams concede on average 1.94 goals per match (Winterthur 91 goals conceded this season, Zürich 66) and in the last 5 matches Winterthur conceded 2.4 on average and Zürich 1.8, so clean sheets are unlikely. Winterthur’s attack generates 1.66 xG and averages 15.06 shots (5.53 on target), Zürich has 1.29 xG and 10.71 shots (3.94 on target), with conversion rates of 11% and 10% — both sides create and finish chances. Additionally, 82% of Winterthur’s matches and 76% of Zürich’s matches finish over 2.5 goals, and Zürich has 0% clean sheets this season (Winterthur 12%), further favoring Goal/Goal. Considering the 71%/65% BTTS, the high 1.94 goals conceded average and the league average of 3.25 goals per match, I recommend a bias towards Yes (75% vs 25%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I forecast a goals-advantage match — total expected xG is 3.21 (home xG 1.72 vs away xG 1.49), close to the league average 3.25 and indicative of Over 2.5 goals. Both teams show high season rates of Over 2.5: Winterthur 82% and Zürich 76%, with the last 5 matches Over 2.5 at 60% and 80% respectively. Defensive trends also point to goals — Winterthur concedes 1.94 goals per match on average (91 this season), Zürich concedes 1.94 (66 this season), and BTTS occurs in 71% and 65% of their games. Offensively Winterthur averages 15.06 shots and 5.53 shots on target with a conversion rate of 11%, Zürich 10.71 shots and 3.94 shots on target with a 10% conversion, supporting the projected xG 1.72/1.49. Therefore the best selection is Over 2.5 (the over side) with an estimated probability of around 78% — Over 1.5 is more certain (~92%) but offers less value, while Over 3.5 is less likely (~34%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts led at the break in 29% of their matches, away teams in 24%, and a half-time draw occurred in 35% of games, making a HT draw a significant signal. Winterthur has a clear advantage in attacking quality: average home xG 1.66 versus Zürich’s 1.29, and 5.53 shots on target per game compared to 3.94 for the visitors, while the season home goals average is 1.59 against 1.06 for Zürich. In the second half the hosts score an average of 0.88 goals, whereas Zürich only 0.47, and in 94% of Winterthur’s matches at least one goal is scored after the break, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround in favor of the hosts. Therefore the strongest scenario is a half-time draw and a Winterthur win at full-time (X/1 — 24%); alternatively a lead for the hosts at the break and holding on to win (1/1 — 21%) and a lead for the visitors and their win (2/2 — 16%) remain smaller but realistic options.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Winterthur | Zürich | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zürich is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.32 goals / match - Zürich
Zürich is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.68 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.94 goals / match - Zürich
Winterthur scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Zürich keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
Zürich scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Winterthur
Over / Under - Zürich
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zürich is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Winterthur · 1.15 pts / match - Zürich
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Winterthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zürich - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Winterthur
Zürich
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Winterthur | Liga | Zürich | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.79 | 3.25 | • 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | • 68% | 67% | • 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 67% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Winterthur 0 - 1 - 2 Zürich. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Winterthur vs Zürich?
The Super League match finished Winterthur 2:2 Zürich. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Winterthur and Zürich?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Winterthur won 0, Zürich won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Winterthur vs Zürich?
Winterthur score 1.12 goals per game on average and Zürich 1.32. The Super League average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Winterthur's matches and 68% of Zürich's.
What form are Winterthur and Zürich in?
Over the last 5 games Winterthur have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Zürich 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Winterthur vs Zürich?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.