Wisła Płock II vs Bełchatów: match statistics
Wisła Płock II vs Bełchatów: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wisła Płock II played Bełchatów in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Wisła Płock II: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bełchatów: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wisła Płock II scores 1.58 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Bełchatów scores 1.58 and concedes 2.12. League average: 3.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wisła Płock II 79%, Bełchatów 67%. Over 2.5: Wisła Płock II 73%, Bełchatów 73%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Wisła Płock II has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.15. Wisła Płock II: 10.2 shots per match, Bełchatów: 7.1.
Match halves
Wisła Płock II: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.85. Bełchatów: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Wisła Płock II: 76-90+ (13 goals). Bełchatów: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Wisła Płock II to win (1): the hosts are 6th and at home score 1.56 goals and concede 1.31 per match, while Bełchatów (13th) away score 1.31 and concede 2.06. Wisła posts higher home xG (1.50 vs 1.17 away xG for the visitors) and generates more shots (10.38 vs 8.69) and more shots on target (4.69 vs 4.00), translating into better quality chances despite a slightly lower conversion rate (15% vs 17%). In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 7 and conceded 7 (1W, 3D, 1L), whereas Bełchatów have 6 scored and 11 conceded (2W, 3L), indicating weaker defensive form for the visitors. Additionally Wisła have a higher home win percentage (44% vs 31% away), higher clean sheet rate (13% vs 6%), lower percentage of matches without scoring (19% vs 25%) and a favorable home goal difference (+4 vs -12 away), so the edge is primarily in defensive stability and greater chance volume. Based on this I propose probability distribution: 60% home win, 25% draw, 15% Bełchatów win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a high seasonal BTTS rate: Wisła Płock II 65% and Bełchatów 69%, versus a league average of 62%, which favors a Goal/Goal scenario. In the last 5 matches Wisła recorded BTTS in 80% of games and Bełchatów in 60%; over that period Bełchatów conceded 11 goals (2.2 avg) and Wisła 7 goals (1.4), indicating defensive vulnerability. Seasonally Wisła scores 1.82 and concedes 2.18 goals per match, while Bełchatów scores 1.31 and concedes 2.06 — both teams concede over 2 goals across the season. xG confirms chance creation (attacking xG 1.12 for Wisła vs 1.17 for Bełchatów) with higher xG against for the visitors (1.94) and a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (76% for hosts, 69% for guests). Based on this I rate BTTS at 80% (Yes) vs 20% (No) and select 'BTTS - Yes' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match has high goal potential: Wisła Płock II averages 1.82 goals per game, Bełchatów 1.31, totaling 3.13 goals versus a league average of 3.34. Combined xG is 1.12 for the home side and 1.17 for the visitors (2.29 total), but weak defensive lines of the opponents (Bełchatów concedes xG 1.94, Wisła 1.44) and higher shooting efficiency (home conversion 22% with 4.2 shots per goal) push the projection to ~1.68 goals for the home team and ~1.31 for the away team, ~2.99 expected goals in total. Season Over 1.5 rates are 82% for Wisła and 88% for Bełchatów (avg ~85%), and BTTS is 65% and 69%, which strongly supports at least two goals in the match. Over 2.5 is also strong (seasonal 76% and 69%, avg ~73%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (53% and 50%, ~52%). Therefore I recommend backing the Over line at 1.5 as the strongest and most reliable signal from the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Wisła Płock II led at the break in 44% of matches and averages 0.75 goals by half-time, while Bełchatów led at the break in 19% of fixtures and averages 0.56 half-time goals. The second half produces many goals: second-half >0.5-goal rates are 94% for hosts and 81% for visitors, and hosts concede on average 1.38 goals after the break. Both teams have a high percentage of BTTS — Wisła 65% and Bełchatów 69% — which increases the likelihood of a turnaround. Additionally, in the last five matches Wisła recorded draws in 60% of games, and Bełchatów were trailing at half-time in 67% of games, which naturally supports the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of the home team leading at the break and a later draw, therefore 1/X is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wisła Płock II | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wisła Płock II is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Wisła Płock II · 2.12 goals / match - Bełchatów
Wisła Płock II scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
Bełchatów scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Wisła Płock II keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wisła Płock II
Over / Under - Bełchatów
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wisła Płock II is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Wisła Płock II · 1.27 pts / match - Bełchatów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wisła Płock II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wisła Płock II
Bełchatów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Wisła Płock II | Liga | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.09 | 3.34 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 20% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Wisła Płock IIGoalAdrian Bielka
- Wisła Płock IIGoalAdrian Bielka
- Wisła Płock IIGoalAdrian Bielka
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wisła Płock II 1 - 0 - 0 Bełchatów. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wisła Płock II vs Bełchatów?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Wisła Płock II 4:1 Bełchatów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wisła Płock II vs Bełchatów?
Wisła Płock II score 1.58 goals per game on average and Bełchatów 1.58. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Wisła Płock II's matches and 67% of Bełchatów's.
What form are Wisła Płock II and Bełchatów in?
Over the last 5 games Wisła Płock II have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bełchatów 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wisła Płock II vs Bełchatów?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.