Wisła Płock II vs Lomza: match statistics

Wisła Płock II remain unbeaten this season, winning both of their matches so far, while Łomża have lost all 3 of their games. The hosts are also in significantly better form: across their last 5 matches, they have recorded 4 wins and a draw, scoring 12 goals, whereas the visitors have a record of 2 wins and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored. At home, Wisła average 2 goals scored and allow opponents 6 shots on target, while Łomża concede as many as 4 goals per away match and have lost both of their fixtures on the road. The visitors are capable of creating chances, as reflected by their away xG of 1.73 and an average of 7 shots on target, but their defence allows opponents an xG of 1.97 and has yet to keep a clean sheet. Both teams regularly find the net, but Łomża’s significantly weaker defensive organisation gives the hosts the strongest basis for victory.

The strongest signal in favour of BTTS - Yes comes from the results of the last five matches: Wisła Płock II saw both teams score in 100% of its games, while Łomża recorded this outcome in 60%. During this period, the home side scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded 1.2, whereas the visitors scored 1.6 goals and conceded 2.0. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.66 for Wisła and 1.62 for Łomża, while the average xG allowed by the two defences stands at 1.64 and 1.54 respectively. Łomża has not kept a clean sheet this season and conceded as many as 4.0 goals on average in away matches, significantly increasing the home side’s chances of scoring. Although Wisła Płock II have yet to score in the current home data, their current attacking run and high league BTTS rate of 64% support a Goal/Goal outcome.

Wisła Płock II have averaged 2.4 goals scored in their last 5 matches, while Łomża conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game over the same period, strongly supporting the hosts’ scoring potential. The visitors averaged 1.6 goals scored, while the hosts conceded an average of 1.2, so an away goal is also a realistic scenario. The teams’ average xG across their last five matches is similarly high: 1.66 for Wisła Płock II and 1.62 for Łomża. The 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 80% of the hosts’ last five matches and 60% of the visitors’ games, while the league average is as high as 3.55 goals. However, the strongest pick remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.45 goals provides a very substantial safety margin above this line.

Wisła Płock II are in clearly better current form: they have averaged 2.4 goals over their last five matches, won 80% of them and remain unbeaten, while Łomża have lost 60% of their games. The hosts have been particularly strong starters, leading at the break in 60% of their recent matches and conceding no first-half goals in those fixtures, whereas Łomża were trailing at half-time in 67% of cases, conceding an average of 2.0 goals. Wisła’s advantage is also reflected after the interval in the last five matches: they have scored 1.6 goals per game in the second half, compared with Łomża’s 1.0. Although the teams’ xG figures are relatively close—1.54 for the hosts versus 1.73 for the visitors—Łomża’s defence allows an average xG of 1.97. Therefore, the most likely scenario is a Wisła lead at the break followed by a victory at full-time (1/1).