Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: match statistics
Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wisła Płock played Radomiak Radom in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Wisła Płock: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Radomiak Radom: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wisła Płock scores 1.10 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Radomiak Radom scores 1.55 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wisła Płock 52%, Radomiak Radom 72%. Over 2.5: Wisła Płock 31%, Radomiak Radom 59%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Radomiak Radom has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.37. Wisła Płock: 11.8 shots per match, Radomiak Radom: 14.3.
Match halves
Wisła Płock: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.48. Radomiak Radom: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Wisła Płock: 31-45+ (11 goals). Radomiak Radom: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wisła Płock are favorites in this match primarily due to a solid home defence: the hosts concede only 0.71 goals per home game on average and keep a clean sheet in 50% of home matches, whereas Radomiak concedes 2.07 goals on average away and has only 7% of away matches without conceding. In attack both teams show similar xG figures (Wisła 1.43 xG at home vs 1.45 xG for Radomiak away), but Wisła have scored more goals in the last five matches — 8 versus Radomiak’s 5 — and conceded fewer (4 vs 7). Form favors the hosts: Wisła have won 4 of their last 5 matches and are averaging 2.4 points per game in this run, while Radomiak are averaging just 1 point per game in their last five with only 1 win. Additionally, Wisła average 4.07 shots on target per home match versus Radomiak’s 3.57 shots on target away; with the same 9% conversion rate this gives the hosts a higher real chance of scoring. On this basis I forecast a Wisła Płock victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates: Wisła Płock 67% and Radomiak 79%, both above the league average of 59%, providing a primary signal for BTTS - Yes. Radomiak concedes 2.07 goals per match on average, while Wisła scores 1.93 and produces xG 1.68 per match, so the hosts have a realistic chance to score against the opponent’s weaker defense. Radomiak posts xG 1.45 and scores 1.14 goals per match, but its clean sheet percentage is only 7% (Wisła 20%), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Wisła scored 8 and conceded 4, while Radomiak scored 5 and conceded 7, further confirming the trend toward games with goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a high likelihood of goals: Wisła Płock averages 1.93 goals per game, Radomiak 1.14, with xG of 1.68 (Wisła) and 1.45 (Radomiak), yielding forecasted 1.74 goals for the home side and 1.35 for the away side (total 3.09). Both teams frequently exceed 1.5 goals — 87% (Wisła) and 86% (Radomiak) — and both sides scored at least once in 67% and 79% of matches respectively, which strongly favors overs. Season percentages for Over 2.5 are 53% (Wisła) and 64% (Radomiak), and with a forecast of 3.09 goals plus Wisła’s higher conversion (12% vs 9%) I estimate roughly a 62% chance for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less certain — season rates 33%/50% and an expected 3.09 goals suggest rather Under 3.5 (my assessment Over ~36%, Under 64%). The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (87%/86% seasonally and projected 3.09 goals), therefore I recommend an Over at the 1.5 line as the primary play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Wisła Płock is the favorite: they score on average 1.93 goals per match versus Radomiak’s 1.14, have a higher xG of 1.68 compared to 1.45, while Radomiak concedes on average 2.07 goals per match with an xG against of 1.79. At half-time the home side averages 0.73 goals versus 0.36 for Radomiak, and in the last five matches Wisła led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5). Wisła is also stronger in second halves: they score on average 1.2 goals after the break and earn an average of 1.87 points in second halves versus 0.79 goals and 0.86 points for Radomiak, which favors maintaining or increasing a lead. Additionally, Wisła have scored six goals in minutes 0–15 this season while Radomiak only one, and the visitors were trailing at half-time in 57% of their matches; this increases the likelihood of a quick lead for the hosts. For these reasons the strongest signal is 1/1 (34%), with significant support for the half-time draw to Wisła turnaround scenario X/1 (24%); I assess all options where the visitors win at full-time at roughly 11% combined.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wisła Płock | Radomiak Radom | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wisła Płock is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Wisła Płock · 1 pts / match - Radomiak Radom
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Radomiak Radom is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Wisła Płock · 1.55 goals / match - Radomiak Radom
Wisła Płock is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Wisła Płock · 1.48 goals / match - Radomiak Radom
Wisła Płock scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Radomiak Radom keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Radomiak Radom scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Wisła Płock keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wisła Płock
Over / Under - Radomiak Radom
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wisła Płock is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Wisła Płock · 1.03 pts / match - Radomiak Radom
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wisła Płock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Radomiak Radom - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wisła Płock
Radomiak Radom
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Wisła Płock | Liga | Radomiak Radom | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.73 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wisła Płock 0 - 1 - 0 Radomiak Radom. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Wisła Płock 0:1 Radomiak Radom. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom?
Wisła Płock score 1.10 goals per game on average and Radomiak Radom 1.55. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Wisła Płock's matches and 72% of Radomiak Radom's.
What form are Wisła Płock and Radomiak Radom in?
Over the last 5 games Wisła Płock have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Radomiak Radom 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.