Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Czarni Połaniec: match statistics

Wiślanie Jaśkowice are unbeaten after five matches this season, winning 4 and drawing 1, while Czarni Połaniec have a record of 3 wins and 2 defeats. At home, the hosts average 2.00 goals scored with an xG of 2.10, while the visitors concede 1.67 goals per away game and allow opponents an xG of 1.52. Wiślanie also hold an advantage in finishing quality: they average 9 shots on target per match compared to Czarni’s 4.67, despite both teams averaging 17 attempts. The hosts’ defence concedes an average of 1.00 goal, while Czarni have failed to score in 33% of their away matches. The visitors can win 67% of their games away from home, but Wiślanie’s run of 4 wins in their last 5 matches, combined with their superior goal difference, points to a home victory.

The BTTS signal is weaker than the league average: both teams have recorded goals at both ends in 40% of their last five matches, compared with 57% across the league. Over this period, Wiślanie have conceded only 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per match, while Czarni have failed to score in 33% of their matches this season. The hosts are nevertheless consistent in attack, averaging 1.8 goals across their last five appearances, whereas Czarni have conceded 1.6 goals per game during that span. The visitors create chances worth an average of 1.46 xG, but Wiślan’s defence has conceded just 1.31 xG per match, which limits confidence in their scoring potential. The most likely scenario is therefore BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will finish the match without scoring.

In their last five matches, Wiślanie have averaged 1.8 goals, while Czarni have averaged 1.6, indicating the potential for more than two goals in total. The hosts have conceded just 0.6 goals per game during this period, although their opponents are still creating chances worth an average of 1.46 xG and recording an average of 17 shots per match. The 1.5 line has been covered in all of Wiślanie’s matches to date and in 67% of Czarni’s games, while over 2.5 goals have been scored in only 40% of the teams’ last five appearances. The average xG from the last five matches—1.57 for the hosts and 1.46 for the visitors—supports a projection of around 2.60 goals. Over 1.5 is therefore the strongest option, as it combines the high consistency of this line with the offensive metrics of both teams.

Wiślanie are in excellent form: across their last five matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, winning 80% of those fixtures, while Czarni have lost 40% of their recent outings. The hosts held a lead at the break in 67% of these matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goal before half-time, whereas Czarni managed just 0.33 first-half goals and were level at half-time in as many as 67% of cases. After the interval, Wiślanie have remained consistent, averaging 1.0 goal scored and only 0.33 conceded over their last five games, winning the second half in 67% of them. Czarni possess dangerous attacking potential, reflected in an average of 1.67 goals per match and an xG of 1.79, but their defence allows 1.67 goals on average. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT scenario is a home lead at the break followed by a home win: 1/1.