Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Naprzód Jędrzejów: match statistics

Wiślanie Jaśkowice have a slight edge in recent form: they collected 7 points from five matches, recording 2 wins and a draw, while Naprzód Jędrzejów earned 6 points and lost 3 times. The hosts scored 6 goals during this period, but their defence conceded 8, which reduces confidence in backing a clear victory. The visitors have been more effective in attack, scoring 8 goals in their last five matches, but they have also conceded as many as 11—an average of 2.2 goals per game. This season, Wiślanie won their only match without conceding, whereas Naprzód have already conceded 4 goals despite winning. With the teams showing similar attacking potential, the visitors’ recent defensive weakness and home advantage point towards a narrow Wiślanie victory.

BTTS - Yes has a moderate edge, as Wiślanie scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.6 in their last 5 matches, while Naprzód scored 1.6 and allowed opponents to score 2.2. Both teams recorded BTTS in 40% of their matches during this period, which does not provide a strong signal on its own, but the visitors’ defence looks clearly vulnerable after conceding 11 goals in five appearances. In their seasonal home data, Wiślanie have recorded BTTS in 100% of matches, averaging 5 goals scored and 4 conceded, although this is a very small sample and should be treated with caution. The hosts create an average of 1.88 xG, while Naprzód, despite a lower recent xG of 0.84, have regularly found the net in their recent matches. Further support comes from the high league BTTS rate of 67%, making a scenario in which both teams score more likely.

Wiślan’s latest five matches produced an average of 2.8 goals, while Naprzód’s averaged as many as 3.8, indicating a realistic chance of at least two goals. In this period, the hosts scored 1.2 goals and conceded 1.6, whereas the visitors scored 1.6 and allowed their opponents 2.2 goals. At the same time, the chance-quality metrics are more moderate: Wiślan’s xG stands at 1.06 and Naprzód’s at 0.84. Therefore, the 2.5 line remains finely balanced rather than being a strong Over pick. Over 1.5 offers a clearer edge, as the projected total of 2.75 goals is above this line and both teams’ defenses regularly allow opponents to score. Wiślan’s season record of 5:4 further highlights the high-scoring potential of their matches, although given the small sample size, greater weight should be placed on the latest five games.

Wiślanie are the favourites based on their stronger record over the last five matches: they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Naprzód have conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game and lost 60% of those matches. The hosts have been leading at the break in 50% of their recent games, while the visitors have been an average of one goal down in the first halves, conceding 1.5 goals and scoring 1.25. Home advantage further strengthens the prediction, as home teams in the league score an average of 1.89 goals compared with 1.56 for away teams. Wiślanie also look more solid after the interval: they score an average of 0.75 goals and concede 0.5, while Naprzód have recorded just a 25% win rate in second halves. The most likely outcome is therefore an HT/FT 1/1, with the hosts taking the lead before half-time and holding it until the final whistle.