Woking vs Fylde: match statistics

Fylde are showing clearly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, with 3 wins and a draw, while Woking have managed just 4. The hosts have lost both league fixtures, failed to score in either, and average 0 goals at home, with 100% of their matches ending without a goal scored. Fylde average 2 goals per away match, register 4 shots on target, and convert 25% of their attempts, while Woking concede as many as 3 goals per home game. Although Woking enjoy more possession (63% compared with 56%) and have a higher average xG (1.45 versus 1.14), they are failing to turn this into scoring efficiency. The visitors’ defence concedes an average of 1 goal away from home, so greater probability should be assigned to a Fylde victory.

The strongest signal against BTTS is Woking’s current form: in their last 5 matches, the team averaged just 0.6 goals, scoring 3 in total, while BTTS landed in 0% of those fixtures. Fylde are significantly more effective, averaging 2.4 goals per game across their last five outings, so an away goal is highly likely, but it does not guarantee a goal for the hosts. During this period, Woking created chances worth 1.23 xG per match, while Fylde allowed opponents 1.27 xG, giving the hosts a chance, although their actual finishing remains clearly weaker than the quality of their chances. Both teams’ seasonal 100% BTTS record is a positive signal for the “Yes” outcome, but it conflicts with Woking’s more recent results and should be treated with caution. The most likely scenario is therefore that at least one side, primarily Woking, will fail to score.

Fylde are in clearly better offensive form: they have scored an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with just 0.6 for Woking. The visitors have also created more quality chances, with an average xG of 1.57 versus 1.23 for the hosts. Both teams conceded 1.2 goals per match during this period, giving Fylde favorable conditions to maintain their scoring efficiency, while Woking have a chance to score at least once. At least 3 goals were scored in 80% of Fylde’s recent matches, although the figure for Woking was 40%, making the 2.5 line evenly balanced. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.65 goals provides a clear margin above this line.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Fylde win at full-time, as the visitors have averaged 2.4 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.6 for Woking. Fylde won 60% of their last five games and averaged 2.0 points per match, compared with Woking’s 20% win rate and 0.8 points per game. At half-time, Woking were level in 3 of their last 5 appearances, while Fylde were either level or leading in 4 of 5, increasing the likelihood of an evenly contested opening period. After the break, the hosts conceded an average of 1.0 goal over their last five matches, whereas the visitors scored 1.6 goals in that period and lost the second half in only 20% of cases. Although Woking have the higher average xG, 1.89 compared with 1.14, the hosts’ poor recent finishing and Fylde’s stronger results-based form support a turnaround in the visitors’ favour after half-time.