Woking vs Solihull Moors: match statistics

Woking have a clearly stronger home record: they win 40% of their matches, while Solihull Moors are yet to win away from home and have lost 75% of such games. The hosts average 1.8 goals scored in front of their own fans, whereas the visitors concede as many as 3.25 goals per away match, with an average xG against them of 1.80. Woking create chances worth an average of 1.52 xG, identical to Solihull Moors’ attacking output, but the hosts’ defence restricts opponents to just 0.99 xG. Woking have suffered only one defeat in their last five matches and conceded just 4 goals, while Solihull Moors have lost 3 times and conceded 10 goals over the same period. The visitors are capable of scoring, having failed to score in none of their away matches, but their very poor defence and negative away record favour a Woking win.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: Solihull Moors have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season, while Woking have done so in 60%, against a league average of 66%. The visitors have kept no clean sheets and concede an average of 3.25 goals per match, so Woking should have an excellent chance to improve on their lower seasonal average of 0.8 goals. At the same time, Woking concede an average of 2.0 goals, while Solihull Moors score 1.25, which supports the visitors finding the net. In the last five matches, BTTS occurred in 60% of Woking’s games and 80% of Solihull’s, while both teams’ xG figures remain solid at 1.57 and 1.71, respectively. The biggest risk to the pick is Woking’s defensive improvement, as they have conceded only 0.8 goals on average across their last five matches; however, the visitors’ very weak defence still weighs more heavily in favour of the BTTS scenario.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as Woking had matches with at least 2 goals in 80% of games, while Solihull Moors did so in 100%. The visitors’ defense conceded as many as 3.25 goals per match on average and kept no clean sheets, which significantly raises Woking’s potential to score around 1.65 goals. Both teams regularly create chances: average xG stands at 1.59 for the hosts and 1.52 for the visitors, with 4.4 and 4.5 shots on target per match, respectively. In their last five appearances, Solihull Moors conceded 10 goals, while Woking scored 7, so current form also supports the scenario of at least two goals. The 2.5 line has positive indicators, but only 20% of Woking’s recent matches went Over 2.5 goals, making it less reliable than Over 1.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Woking win, as both teams were level at the break in 40% of their last five matches. The first halves are expected to be cautious: Woking averaged 0.6 goals and Solihull Moors just 0.2, with only 20% of both teams’ matches featuring at least two goals before the break. After half-time, the hosts have shown notably greater recent stability, conceding an average of 0.2 goals across their last five second halves, while Solihull Moors conceded 1.4. Woking also have the better recent results record, drawing 60% and losing only 20% of their five matches, whereas the visitors lost 60% of their games during this period. The hosts’ advantage is further strengthened by the fact that Solihull Moors failed to keep a clean sheet throughout the entire period analysed and conceded an average of 3.25 goals per match.