Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: match statistics
Sturm Graz demonstrates significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors are in 2nd place in the table with an impressive 70% win rate away from home and a +9 goal difference, while Wolfsberger AC in 9th position have only a 40% win rate at home. Sturm Graz boasts a higher scoring efficiency (1.9 goals per away match vs 1.4 for the hosts at home) and a superior xG ratio (1.66 vs 1.31), confirming their offensive advantage. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the visitors - 1.8 points per match compared to just 0.4 for the hosts. Wolfsberger AC have not won any of their last 5 matches, further weakening their position. Sturm Graz also maintains a 50% clean sheet rate away from home, indicating solid defensive organization and increasing the chances of a favorable outcome.
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wolfsberger AC played Sturm Graz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Wolfsberger AC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sturm Graz: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wolfsberger AC scores 1.40 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Sturm Graz scores 1.45 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wolfsberger AC 65%, Sturm Graz 50%. Over 2.5: Wolfsberger AC 65%, Sturm Graz 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.27. Wolfsberger AC: 11.1 shots per match, Sturm Graz: 14.6.
Match halves
Wolfsberger AC: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.50. Sturm Graz: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Wolfsberger AC: 0-15 (7 goals). Sturm Graz: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sturm Graz demonstrates significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors are in 2nd place in the table with an impressive 70% win rate away from home and a +9 goal difference, while Wolfsberger AC in 9th position have only a 40% win rate at home. Sturm Graz boasts a higher scoring efficiency (1.9 goals per away match vs 1.4 for the hosts at home) and a superior xG ratio (1.66 vs 1.31), confirming their offensive advantage. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the visitors - 1.8 points per match compared to just 0.4 for the hosts. Wolfsberger AC have not won any of their last 5 matches, further weakening their position. Sturm Graz also maintains a 50% clean sheet rate away from home, indicating solid defensive organization and increasing the chances of a favorable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sturm Graz is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Wolfsberger AC · 1.8 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Wolfsberger AC · 1.2 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Sturm Graz scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Wolfsberger AC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wolfsberger AC
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Wolfsberger AC · 1.6 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsberger AC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsberger AC | Liga | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.64 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wolfsberger AC 1 - 0 - 0 Sturm Graz. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsberger AC 2:2 Sturm Graz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger AC score 1.40 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz 1.45. The Bundesliga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Wolfsberger AC's matches and 50% of Sturm Graz's.
What form are Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsberger AC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sturm Graz 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.