Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
Wolfsburg finds themselves in a dramatic situation in 17th place, with a mere 17% home win rate and catastrophic form—zero wins in the last 5 matches. Hamburger SV performs little better on the road, with only 9% away wins and failing to score in 45% of matches. Both teams are characterized by a negative goal difference (Wolfsburg -7 at home, HSV -12 away), suggesting problems in both defense and attack. Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.58 goals at home, while HSV manages just 0.64 goals away, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. Considering the poor form of both sides, the high probability of a draw (36% for HSV away), and the fact that both teams are desperate for points, I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this clash between two relegation-battling sides.
Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wolfsburg played Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Wolfsburg: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hamburger SV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wolfsburg scores 1.38 and concedes 2.21 goals per match. Hamburger SV scores 1.08 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wolfsburg 75%, Hamburger SV 54%. Over 2.5: Wolfsburg 71%, Hamburger SV 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hamburger SV has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.32. Wolfsburg: 11.5 shots per match, Hamburger SV: 12.8.
Match halves
Wolfsburg: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Hamburger SV: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Wolfsburg: 0-15 (8 goals). Hamburger SV: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wolfsburg finds themselves in a dramatic situation in 17th place, with a mere 17% home win rate and catastrophic form—zero wins in the last 5 matches. Hamburger SV performs little better on the road, with only 9% away wins and failing to score in 45% of matches. Both teams are characterized by a negative goal difference (Wolfsburg -7 at home, HSV -12 away), suggesting problems in both defense and attack. Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.58 goals at home, while HSV manages just 0.64 goals away, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. Considering the poor form of both sides, the high probability of a draw (36% for HSV away), and the fact that both teams are desperate for points, I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this clash between two relegation-battling sides.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsburg | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamburger SV is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Wolfsburg · 1.4 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Wolfsburg · 1.08 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.21 goals / match - Wolfsburg · 1.46 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Wolfsburg scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Hamburger SV scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Wolfsburg · 1.08 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsburg | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.58 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wolfsburg 1 - 0 - 0 Hamburger SV. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsburg 1:2 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV?
Wolfsburg score 1.38 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.08. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's matches and 54% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are Wolfsburg and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsburg have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hamburger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.