Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli: match statistics
Wolfsburg sits in a better league position (14th place) than St. Pauli (16th place), and their home offense is significantly more effective – averaging 1.63 goals per match compared to St. Pauli's mere 0.63 goals on the road. The visitors suffer from very poor shooting efficiency in away matches (7% shot conversion, 50% of matches without scoring), providing a significant advantage for the hosts. Although both teams share an identical goal difference (-6), Wolfsburg has demonstrated better scoring form in recent fixtures (11 goals in 5 matches versus 5 for St. Pauli). However, St. Pauli has shown improvement in their last five games (1.8 points per match), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering all statistics, a Wolfsburg victory is predicted, though the hosts' weak defense (0% clean sheets at home) and the visitors' rising form mean the result is not guaranteed.
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wolfsburg played St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Wolfsburg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. St. Pauli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wolfsburg scores 1.50 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. St. Pauli scores 0.87 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wolfsburg 75%, St. Pauli 47%. Over 2.5: Wolfsburg 69%, St. Pauli 53%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Wolfsburg has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.24. Wolfsburg: 11.8 shots per match, St. Pauli: 10.5.
Match halves
Wolfsburg: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. St. Pauli: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Wolfsburg: 0-15 (7 goals). St. Pauli: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wolfsburg sits in a better league position (14th place) than St. Pauli (16th place), and their home offense is significantly more effective – averaging 1.63 goals per match compared to St. Pauli's mere 0.63 goals on the road. The visitors suffer from very poor shooting efficiency in away matches (7% shot conversion, 50% of matches without scoring), providing a significant advantage for the hosts. Although both teams share an identical goal difference (-6), Wolfsburg has demonstrated better scoring form in recent fixtures (11 goals in 5 matches versus 5 for St. Pauli). However, St. Pauli has shown improvement in their last five games (1.8 points per match), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering all statistics, a Wolfsburg victory is predicted, though the hosts' weak defense (0% clean sheets at home) and the visitors' rising form mean the result is not guaranteed.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wolfsburg | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wolfsburg is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Wolfsburg · 1 pts / match - St. Pauli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Wolfsburg · 0.87 goals / match - St. Pauli
St. Pauli is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - Wolfsburg · 1.73 goals / match - St. Pauli
Wolfsburg scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
St. Pauli scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
Over / Under - St. Pauli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Wolfsburg · 0.8 pts / match - St. Pauli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Wolfsburg | Liga | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 3.26 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
The Bundesliga match finished Wolfsburg 2:1 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
Wolfsburg score 1.50 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.87. The Bundesliga average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Wolfsburg's matches and 47% of St. Pauli's.
What form are Wolfsburg and St. Pauli in?
Over the last 5 games Wolfsburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and St. Pauli 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.