England - ChampionshipMolineux StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Wolverhampton Wanderers play Watford in Championship (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Molineux Stadium.

Current form

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Watford: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Wolverhampton Wanderers scores 1.73 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Watford scores 0.91 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Wolverhampton Wanderers 73%, Watford 55%. Over 2.5: Wolverhampton Wanderers 64%, Watford 45%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Wolverhampton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.41. Wolverhampton Wanderers: 16.2 shots per match, Watford: 13.0.

Match halves

Wolverhampton Wanderers: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.00. Watford: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 61-75 (4 goals). Watford: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.37)
(4.85)
(7.39)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.73Goals scored / match0.91
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.45Goals conceded / match1.73
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
54%Average possession47%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
4.27Shots on target / match4.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.18Shots per match13
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
4.27Shots on target4.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
10.7%Shot conversion7%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
54%Possession47%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.66xG for1.41
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.27xG against1.72
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Shooting quality

Wolverhampton Wanderers: AttackingWatford: Balanced
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)26%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 0.6 pts / match - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers
WLLWD
Season result split
45% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-3
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Watford
LLLLW
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 90% better for: goals scored per match.

1.73 goals / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 0.91 goals / match - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.45 goals / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 1.73 goals / match - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Wolverhampton Wanderers scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Wolverhampton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

19Goals scored (season)10
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
16Goals conceded (season)19
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
3.18Average goals in match2.64
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
6Goals conceded (last 5)12
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal64%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
55%2 goals27%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%3 goals0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
9%4 goals0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal91%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
36%2 goals36%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%3 goals18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
9%4 goals18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

73%
Wolverhampton Wanderers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 11 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

45%BTTS at half-time18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%BTTS in both halves0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Scored in both halves0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
60%BTTS - last 540%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Wolverhampton Wanderers is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Wolverhampton Wanderers · 0.55 pts / match - Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers - half-time state
18% leading64% draw18% trailing
Watford - half-time state
9% leading27% draw64% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)0.55
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)1.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.45Average goals (1st half)1.73
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Clean sheet before half-time18%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%No goal before half-time73%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per match (2nd half)1.18
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
1.73Average goals (2nd half)0.91
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
45%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford
18%No goal after half-time64%
Wolverhampton WanderersWatford

Wolverhampton Wanderers - second-half results

45% W27% D27% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding250%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Watford - second-half results

18% W64% D18% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Wolverhampton Wanderers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.20
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.80.6
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-9+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Wolverhampton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
0
6
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Wolverhampton WanderersLigaWatford
Average goals in match▲ 3.182.88▼ 2.64
Both teams scored▲ 73%64%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%61%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 18%21%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%77%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%79%▼ 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford play?

Wolverhampton Wanderers face Watford on 24 October 2026 in Championship at Molineux Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.73 goals per game on average and Watford 0.91. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Wolverhampton Wanderers's matches and 55% of Watford's.

What form are Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Wolverhampton Wanderers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford?

The statistical background for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.