England - National LeagueThe A2B StadiumData current as of 23 October 2026

Worthing vs Barrow: match statistics

Worthing crest
Worthing
2 : 2half-time 0:2
Barrow crest
Barrow

Worthing vs Barrow: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Worthing played Barrow in National League (England). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: The A2B Stadium. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Worthing: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Barrow: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Worthing scores 1.83 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Barrow scores 1.33 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.04 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Worthing 83%, Barrow 67%. Over 2.5: Worthing 83%, Barrow 67%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Barrow has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.38. Worthing: 11.0 shots per match, Barrow: 10.2.

Match halves

Worthing: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 1.00. Barrow: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Worthing: 76-90+ (4 goals). Barrow: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Worthing have a slight home advantage: they average 1.33 goals with an xG of 1.60 in home matches, while Barrow score an average of 1.00 goals away from home and create chances worth 1.43 xG. The hosts are also clearly more active in attack, averaging 13.33 shots and 5.67 on target per match, compared with 9.00 and 3.67 for the visitors. Barrow have not won any away match, and 67% of their games on the road have ended in draws, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested encounter. Both teams concede 1.67 goals per match, at home and away respectively, but Barrow have failed to keep a clean sheet and have been held scoreless in 33% of their away fixtures. The visitors’ recent form is slightly more consistent, with 5 points from their last five matches compared with Worthing’s 4; however, the hosts’ greater chance creation supports a narrow Worthing victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is clear, as both Worthing and Barrow recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches this season, with that figure rising to 80% for both sides across their last five games. Worthing average 1.67 goals scored per match, compared with 1.00 for Barrow, while the hosts concede 1.33 goals per game and the visitors as many as 1.67. Recent form further supports a goal-scoring scenario: both teams scored 8 goals in their last five appearances, while Worthing conceded 10 and Barrow 7. Their attacking potential is backed by an xG of 1.65 for the hosts and 1.43 for the visitors, while Barrow have kept no clean sheets this season. The BTTS - Yes pick is therefore stronger, although Barrow’s 33% rate of matches without scoring leaves moderate risk of the BTTS - No outcome, in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Worthing average 1.67 goals at home, while Barrow concede 1.67 goals away, which clearly supports at least one home goal. The attacking potential of both sides is confirmed by their xG figures: 1.65 for Worthing and 1.43 for Barrow, while the hosts allow opponents 1.13 xG. In their last five matches, both teams scored an average of 1.6 goals per game, while their matches produced an average of 3.6 and 3.0 goals, respectively. The 1.5 line has been covered in 100% of both teams’ league matches so far, although the sample size remains limited. Over 1.5 is therefore best supported by the combination of goal-scoring trends, current form, and the quality of chances created.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Worthing shows a clear stronger signal for the first half: in their last five matches, they led at the break in 100% of games, scoring an average of 1.0 goals and conceding none. Over the same period, Barrow were ahead after 45 minutes in only 20% of matches, while as many as 80% ended level, with an average of 0.6 goals scored before half-time. The hosts also create more chances over the course of the season, with an xG of 1.65 compared with 1.43, averaging 4.67 shots on target to their opponents’ 3.67, and they have a better finishing rate of 15% versus 11%. After the interval, the risk of losing their lead remains significant, as Worthing have recently conceded an average of 2.0 goals in second halves. Therefore, a substantial share of the probability is assigned to outcomes involving a draw or a turnaround. Nevertheless, Barrow have not won any match in the analysed seasonal sample, while the hosts have home advantage, so the most likely individual scenario remains Worthing leading at half-time and securing the full-time victory.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
WorthingBarrow
13Shots9
WorthingBarrow
10Shots on target7
WorthingBarrow
2.06xG1.67
WorthingBarrow
10Corners8
WorthingBarrow
74Dangerous attacks84
WorthingBarrow
10Fouls25
WorthingBarrow
1Cards5
WorthingBarrow

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Goals scored / match1.33
WorthingBarrow
2Goals conceded / match1.5
WorthingBarrow
49%Average possession53%
WorthingBarrow
4.83Shots on target / match4.17
WorthingBarrow

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match10.17
WorthingBarrow
4.83Shots on target4.17
WorthingBarrow
16.7%Shot conversion13.1%
WorthingBarrow
49%Possession53%
WorthingBarrow
1.38xG for1.54
WorthingBarrow
1.85xG against1.16
WorthingBarrow

Shooting quality

Worthing: Efficient finishingBarrow: Efficient finishing
WorthingBarrow
Accuracy (shots on target)44%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barrow is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Worthing · 1 pts / match - Barrow

Worthing
LWLLD
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Barrow
LDLDW
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
LDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Worthing is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Worthing · 1.33 goals / match - Barrow

Barrow is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Worthing · 1.5 goals / match - Barrow

Worthing scoring profile: very strong

Worthing scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Barrow scoring profile: very strong

Barrow scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Worthing keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

11Goals scored (season)8
WorthingBarrow
12Goals conceded (season)9
WorthingBarrow
3.83Average goals in match2.83
WorthingBarrow
8Goals scored (last 5)8
WorthingBarrow
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
WorthingBarrow

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
WorthingBarrow
67%2 goals33%
WorthingBarrow
17%3 goals17%
WorthingBarrow
0%4 goals0%
WorthingBarrow

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
WorthingBarrow
83%2 goals67%
WorthingBarrow
33%3 goals0%
WorthingBarrow
0%4 goals0%
WorthingBarrow

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
WorthingBarrow
0%BTTS in both halves17%
WorthingBarrow
50%Scored in both halves33%
WorthingBarrow

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
WorthingBarrow
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
WorthingBarrow
80%BTTS - last 580%
WorthingBarrow

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
WorthingBarrow
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
WorthingBarrow
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
WorthingBarrow

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
WorthingBarrow
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
WorthingBarrow
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
WorthingBarrow

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Worthing is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.5 pts / match - Worthing · 1.17 pts / match - Barrow

Worthing - half-time state
83% leading0% draw17% trailing
Barrow - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.5Points per match (1st half)1.17
WorthingBarrow
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.5
WorthingBarrow
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
WorthingBarrow
1Average goals (1st half)1
WorthingBarrow
83%Clean sheet before half-time50%
WorthingBarrow
17%No goal before half-time50%
WorthingBarrow

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)0.83
WorthingBarrow
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
WorthingBarrow
1.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1
WorthingBarrow
2.83Average goals (2nd half)1.83
WorthingBarrow
17%Clean sheet after half-time33%
WorthingBarrow
33%No goal after half-time33%
WorthingBarrow

Worthing - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
15
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding40%

Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.7

Concedes 1.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Barrow - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Worthing - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.000.20
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.02.0
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+5-7
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Barrow - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Worthing
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Barrow
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Worthing

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Barrow

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

WorthingLigaBarrow
Average goals in match▲ 3.833.04▼ 2.83
Both teams scored▲ 83%64%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%60%▲ 67%
Clean sheets• 17%18%• 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%71%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%89%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BarrowYellow cardDanny Amos
  2. BarrowGoalMikey Lane
  3. WorthingSubstitutionOn: Charley KendallOff: Jose Marquez
  4. BarrowYellow cardIsaac Marriott
  5. BarrowGoalMikey Lane
  6. BarrowYellow cardMichael Jordan Williams
  7. WorthingYellow cardRicky Aguair
  8. WorthingSubstitutionOn: Harry William Dominique RansomOff: Ricky Aguair
  9. BarrowYellow cardKennedy Digie
  10. BarrowYellow cardPaul Kalambayi
  11. WorthingSubstitutionOn: Ashley Nathaniel-GeorgeOff: Jordan John Young

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Worthing vs Barrow?

The National League match finished Worthing 2:2 Barrow. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Worthing vs Barrow?

Worthing score 1.83 goals per game on average and Barrow 1.33. The National League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Worthing's matches and 67% of Barrow's.

What form are Worthing and Barrow in?

Over the last 5 games Worthing have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Barrow 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Worthing vs Barrow?

The statistical background for Worthing vs Barrow — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.