Worthing vs Halifax Town: match statistics

Worthing hold a slight home advantage: they average 1.4 goals at home with an xG of 1.62, while Halifax score just 1.0 goal away from home and create chances worth 1.24 xG. The hosts also register significantly more shots on target, averaging 6.0 per match compared with the visitors’ 3.75, and they have not failed to score in any home fixture. Halifax have improved their results in their last five matches, winning 3 times and conceding just 2 goals, which limits the extent of Worthing’s advantage. Nevertheless, the visitors’ away record remains poor, with a 75% loss rate, an average of 1.5 goals conceded, and a negative goal difference of -2. Worthing are also enjoying a stable run, with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches, making a narrow home victory the most likely outcome.

Worthing have strong attacking credentials: they average 2.0 goals per match, register 5.2 shots on target, and have scored 10 goals in their last five games. Halifax should have chances to respond, as their average xG stands at 1.24, almost identical to Worthing’s average 1.27 xG conceded, while the hosts have allowed 1.6 goals per game across their last five fixtures. The case for both teams scoring is further supported by Worthing recording BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, alongside a 60% season rate. The main risk to the selection is Halifax’s strong current defensive form: they have conceded just 2 goals in their last five games and recorded BTTS in only 20% of those matches, so the edge for BTTS - Yes is moderate. Nevertheless, the visitors’ recent average of 1.2 goals scored and the vulnerability of the hosts’ defence point slightly more strongly towards a Goal/Goal outcome.

Worthing average 2.0 goals scored per match this season, while Halifax Town concede 1.5, clearly supporting at least two goals. The hosts have scored in 100% of their matches, compared with 75% for the visitors, with average xG figures of 1.44 and 1.24 respectively. The 1.5 line has been covered in 80% of Worthing’s matches and 50% of Halifax Town’s games, while both teams have had at least one goal in 100% of their matches. Caution with higher lines is warranted due to Halifax Town’s recent defensive form, having conceded just 0.4 goals per match across their last five games. Therefore, the value is on Over 1.5 rather than on higher overs.

Worthing have a clear advantage over the course of the season: they win 60% of their matches, score an average of 2.0 goals and concede just 1.0, while Halifax lose 75% of their games and concede 1.5 goals per match. The hosts tend to start matches well, leading at the break in 40% of their games and in as many as 80% of their last five; during the same period, Halifax were level at half-time in 80% of their matches and scored just 0.2 goals per game before the break. Worthing’s attack should create more quality chances, as the hosts record 5.2 shots on target per match compared with the visitors’ 3.75, while their conversion rate stands at 19% versus 12% for Halifax. In addition, Halifax concede an average of 1.0 goal after half-time, whereas Worthing score 1.2 goals in this period, which favours them maintaining or extending their lead. The most likely outcome is therefore a Worthing lead at half-time followed by a home win, although Halifax’s strong recent form increases the likelihood of draw scenarios.