England - National LeagueData current as of 23 October 2026

Worthing vs Southend United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Worthing vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Worthing play Southend United in National League (England). The match date is 27 October 2026.

Current form

Worthing: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Southend United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Worthing scores 2.08 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Southend United scores 2.38 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Worthing 77%, Southend United 92%. Over 2.5: Worthing 77%, Southend United 77%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Southend United has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.53. Worthing: 11.3 shots per match, Southend United: 12.0.

Match halves

Worthing: half-time lead 77%, second-half goals 1.00. Southend United: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.15.

Goals by minute

Worthing: 31-45+ (6 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

WorthingSouthend United
2.08Goals scored / match2.38
WorthingSouthend United
1.38Goals conceded / match1.46
WorthingSouthend United
52%Average possession62%
WorthingSouthend United
5.77Shots on target / match6.31
WorthingSouthend United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.31Shots per match12
WorthingSouthend United
5.77Shots on target6.31
WorthingSouthend United
18.4%Shot conversion19.9%
WorthingSouthend United
52%Possession62%
WorthingSouthend United
1.53xG for1.75
WorthingSouthend United
1.5xG against1.28
WorthingSouthend United

Shooting quality

Worthing: Efficient finishingSouthend United: Efficient finishing
WorthingSouthend United
Accuracy (shots on target)51%53%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Worthing is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Worthing · 2 pts / match - Southend United

Worthing
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
54% W23% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-3
1.85 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Southend United
WLDWW
Season result split
62% W23% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-2
2.08 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southend United is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

2.08 goals / match - Worthing · 2.38 goals / match - Southend United

Worthing is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Worthing · 1.46 goals / match - Southend United

Worthing scoring profile: very strong

Worthing scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).

Southend United scoring profile: very strong

Southend United scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Worthing keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

27Goals scored (season)31
WorthingSouthend United
18Goals conceded (season)19
WorthingSouthend United
3.46Average goals in match3.85
WorthingSouthend United
13Goals scored (last 5)14
WorthingSouthend United
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
WorthingSouthend United

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
WorthingSouthend United
69%2 goals69%
WorthingSouthend United
23%3 goals46%
WorthingSouthend United
8%4 goals8%
WorthingSouthend United

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal92%
WorthingSouthend United
46%2 goals31%
WorthingSouthend United
15%3 goals15%
WorthingSouthend United
0%4 goals8%
WorthingSouthend United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time31%
WorthingSouthend United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
WorthingSouthend United
46%Scored in both halves31%
WorthingSouthend United

BTTS and goal count

69%Min. 3 goals and BTTS77%
WorthingSouthend United
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
WorthingSouthend United
80%BTTS - last 5100%
WorthingSouthend United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
WorthingSouthend United
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
WorthingSouthend United

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
WorthingSouthend United
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
WorthingSouthend United
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Worthing is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.38 pts / match - Worthing · 1.92 pts / match - Southend United

Worthing - half-time state
77% leading8% draw15% trailing
Southend United - half-time state
54% leading31% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.38Points per match (1st half)1.92
WorthingSouthend United
1.08Goals scored (1st half)1.23
WorthingSouthend United
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
WorthingSouthend United
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.69
WorthingSouthend United
69%Clean sheet before half-time54%
WorthingSouthend United
15%No goal before half-time31%
WorthingSouthend United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.69
WorthingSouthend United
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.15
WorthingSouthend United
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
WorthingSouthend United
2Average goals (2nd half)2.15
WorthingSouthend United
46%Clean sheet after half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United
38%No goal after half-time38%
WorthingSouthend United

Worthing - second-half results

38% W23% D38% L
31
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding70%

Leads at half-time in 77% of matches and wins 54%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Southend United - second-half results

54% W8% D38% L
25
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Worthing - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.00
Goals scored / match1.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+6+3
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8
Southend United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match2.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+8-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Worthing
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
3
16-30
6
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
5
2
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Southend United
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
6
1
16-30
6
0
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
85%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Worthing

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Southend United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

WorthingLigaSouthend United
Average goals in match▲ 3.463.10▲ 3.85
Both teams scored▲ 77%63%▲ 92%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 77%61%▲ 77%
Clean sheets▲ 23%19%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%74%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%87%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Worthing and Southend United play?

Worthing face Southend United on 27 October 2026 in National League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Worthing vs Southend United?

Worthing score 2.08 goals per game on average and Southend United 2.38. The National League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Worthing's matches and 92% of Southend United's.

What form are Worthing and Southend United in?

Over the last 5 games Worthing have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Southend United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Worthing vs Southend United?

The statistical background for Worthing vs Southend United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.