Wrexham vs Burnley: match statistics
Wrexham vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wrexham played Burnley in Championship (England). The match was played on 8 September 2026. Venue: Racecourse Ground. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Wrexham: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wrexham scores 1.20 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.20 and concedes 2.40. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wrexham 60%, Burnley 100%. Over 2.5: Wrexham 40%, Burnley 80%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Burnley has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.25. Wrexham: 11.0 shots per match, Burnley: 12.6.
Match halves
Wrexham: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Burnley: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Wrexham: 16-30 (2 goals). Burnley: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wrexham have the stronger home advantage: Burnley have lost both of their away matches so far, conceding an average of as many as 3.5 goals per game. The hosts are also yet to win at home, but they have drawn 50% of those matches and score an average of 1 goal there, while the visitors’ defence allows opponents an xG of 1.76. Wrexham create chances worth an average of 1.25 xG at home, whereas Burnley, despite registering more shots away from home (13.5 versus 10.5), convert just 7% of their attempts, compared with 10% for the hosts. Neither team’s form is particularly convincing, but Wrexham have collected 5 points from their first 4 matches of the season, while Burnley remain winless and have an away goal difference of -5. Both teams have scored in every match under their respective conditions, so the most likely outcome is a narrow Wrexham win, probably with Burnley finding the net.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for goals from both sides is very clear: Wrexham and Burnley have had BTTS - Yes in 100% of their league matches so far, compared with the league average of 73%. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, while Burnley concede as many as 3.5 goals per match on average, significantly increasing the hosts’ chances of scoring. Wrexham average 1.5 goals with an xG of 1.53, while Burnley generate an xG of 1.39 and average 3.5 shots on target per game, giving the visitors a solid basis to find a response. BTTS - Yes has also occurred in 60% and 80% of their respective last five matches, while Burnley conceded 2.0 goals per game during this period. The most likely scenario is therefore that both teams will score at least one goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly favors goals: both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far this season. Burnley concede as many as 3.5 goals per game on average, while their average xG conceded stands at 1.76, putting Wrexham, with an average of 1.53 xG, in a very favorable position. The visitors should also contribute, as they create an average of 1.39 xG per game, while Wrexham allow opponents 1.20 xG. Burnley have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches, and both teams have scored and conceded in every match this season. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as even a more cautious assessment of approximately 2.90 expected goals provides a significant margin above this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In their last five matches, Wrexham held the lead at the break in two and conceded an average of just 0.4 goals before half-time, while Burnley had not led after 45 minutes on any occasion and were behind in three of their five appearances. The hosts have the higher average xG, 1.53 compared with 1.39, while Burnley also allow opponents an average of 1.76 xG. Wrexham’s advantage is further reflected in their finishing efficiency: they convert 11% of their shots, compared with 7% for the visitors. After the break, the hosts have averaged 1.5 goals, whereas Burnley have yet to score in this period, making Wrexham to lead at half-time and win the match the most likely outcome. A draw at half-time remains a significant alternative, but Burnley’s poor first-half performances strengthen the 1/1 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wrexham | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wrexham is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wrexham · 0.4 pts / match - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wrexham is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Wrexham · 2.4 goals / match - Burnley
Wrexham scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Burnley scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Wrexham keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wrexham
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wrexham is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Wrexham · 0.4 pts / match - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wrexham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burnley - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wrexham
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Wrexham | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Wrexham vs Burnley?
The Championship match finished Wrexham 1:1 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wrexham vs Burnley?
Wrexham score 1.20 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.20. The Championship average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Wrexham's matches and 100% of Burnley's.
What form are Wrexham and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Wrexham have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Burnley 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wrexham vs Burnley?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wrexham vs Burnley: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.