Wrexham vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Wrexham played Watford in Championship (England). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Wrexham: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Watford: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Wrexham scores 1.20 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Watford scores 1.40 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Wrexham 60%, Watford 75%. Over 2.5: Wrexham 30%, Watford 55%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Watford has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.23. Wrexham: 10.7 shots per match, Watford: 14.4.

Match halves

Wrexham: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.75. Watford: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Wrexham: 46-60 (6 goals). Watford: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
WrexhamWatford
16Shots12
WrexhamWatford
3Shots on target3
WrexhamWatford
1.64xG1.2
WrexhamWatford
7Corners1
WrexhamWatford
58Dangerous attacks30
WrexhamWatford
10Fouls9
WrexhamWatford
3Cards5
WrexhamWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.2Goals scored / match1.4
WrexhamWatford
1.15Goals conceded / match1.3
WrexhamWatford
46%Average possession53%
WrexhamWatford
3.75Shots on target / match5
WrexhamWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.65Shots per match14.45
WrexhamWatford
3.75Shots on target5
WrexhamWatford
11.3%Shot conversion9.7%
WrexhamWatford
46%Possession53%
WrexhamWatford
1.23xG for1.57
WrexhamWatford
1.71xG against1.39
WrexhamWatford

Shooting quality

Wrexham: BalancedWatford: Attacking
WrexhamWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Watford is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Wrexham · 1.6 pts / match - Watford

Wrexham
DWDDL
Season result split
30% W45% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-5
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Watford
WDLWD
Season result split
35% W35% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-6
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Watford is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Wrexham · 1.4 goals / match - Watford

Wrexham is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Wrexham · 1.3 goals / match - Watford

Wrexham scoring profile: very strong

Wrexham scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Wrexham keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

24Goals scored (season)28
WrexhamWatford
23Goals conceded (season)26
WrexhamWatford
2.35Average goals in match2.7
WrexhamWatford
4Goals scored (last 5)9
WrexhamWatford
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
WrexhamWatford

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
WrexhamWatford
30%2 goals45%
WrexhamWatford
10%3 goals15%
WrexhamWatford
0%4 goals0%
WrexhamWatford

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal95%
WrexhamWatford
35%2 goals30%
WrexhamWatford
10%3 goals5%
WrexhamWatford
0%4 goals0%
WrexhamWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time35%
WrexhamWatford
5%BTTS in both halves0%
WrexhamWatford
10%Scored in both halves15%
WrexhamWatford

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
WrexhamWatford
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
WrexhamWatford
40%BTTS - last 5100%
WrexhamWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
WrexhamWatford
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
WrexhamWatford
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
WrexhamWatford

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
WrexhamWatford
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
WrexhamWatford
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
WrexhamWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Wrexham is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Wrexham · 0.95 pts / match - Watford

Wrexham - half-time state
35% leading30% draw35% trailing
Watford - half-time state
20% leading35% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)0.95
WrexhamWatford
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.6
WrexhamWatford
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.95
WrexhamWatford
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.55
WrexhamWatford
60%Clean sheet before half-time25%
WrexhamWatford
60%No goal before half-time55%
WrexhamWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.8
WrexhamWatford
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
WrexhamWatford
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.35
WrexhamWatford
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.15
WrexhamWatford
45%Clean sheet after half-time65%
WrexhamWatford
50%No goal after half-time50%
WrexhamWatford

Wrexham - second-half results

35% W30% D35% L
27
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Watford - second-half results

50% W30% D20% L
19
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Wrexham - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.202.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-5+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Wrexham
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
7
7
31-45
5
3
46-60
5
0
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Wrexham

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

WrexhamLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.352.64 2.70
Both teams scored 60%60% 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 30%52% 55%
Clean sheets 30%23% 5%
Goal before half-time 75%74% 85%
Goal after half-time 80%78% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. WatfordGoalOthmane MaammaAssist: Marc Bola
  2. WatfordYellow cardMarc Bola
  3. WrexhamYellow cardJoshua Dean Windass
  4. WatfordYellow cardMax Alleyne
  5. WatfordYellow cardGiorgi Chakvetadze
  6. WatfordYellow cardMamadou Doumbia
  7. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Kévin KebenOff: James Bright Adusei Abankwah
  8. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Moussa SissokoOff: Edo Kayembe
  9. WrexhamSubstitutionOn: Oliver RathboneOff: Dominic Hyam
  10. WrexhamGoalOliver Rathbone
  11. WatfordYellow cardImran Louza
  12. WatfordYellow cardHector Kyprianou
  13. WrexhamYellow cardBen Sheaf

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Wrexham vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Wrexham 2:2 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Wrexham vs Watford?

Wrexham score 1.20 goals per game on average and Watford 1.40. The Championship average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Wrexham's matches and 75% of Watford's.

What form are Wrexham and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Wrexham have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Watford 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wrexham vs Watford?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.