Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon: match statistics
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wuhan Three Towns played Qingdao Jonoon in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 6 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Wuhan Three Towns: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Qingdao Jonoon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wuhan Three Towns scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Qingdao Jonoon scores 1.22 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wuhan Three Towns 56%, Qingdao Jonoon 56%. Over 2.5: Wuhan Three Towns 56%, Qingdao Jonoon 44%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Qingdao Jonoon has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.14. Wuhan Three Towns: 9.9 shots per match, Qingdao Jonoon: 11.4.
Match halves
Wuhan Three Towns: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00. Qingdao Jonoon: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Wuhan Three Towns: 61-75 (5 goals). Qingdao Jonoon: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1) based on Wuhan’s superiority in home metrics and Qingdao’s poor away efficiency. Wuhan averages 1.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0 at home, while Qingdao on the road scores just 0.5 and concedes 1.75 per match. Although Qingdao have 8 goals in their last 5 matches and average 1.6 points per game in that span, Wuhan only have 5 goals and 0.8 points per game over the same period, indicating better short-term form for the visitors overall but not necessarily in away fixtures. Both teams have similar average xG (around 1.3), however Wuhan converts chances far more efficiently — the home side’s shot conversion is 12% versus Qingdao’s 4%, with a comparable number of attempts (~12) and shots on target (3.25 vs 3.5). Additionally, Qingdao are yet to win away (0% wins, 75% losses) and have 0% clean sheets on the road, so the probability favors the home team.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors BTTS: Wuhan Three Towns average 1.8 goals scored and concede 1.2 this season, while Qingdao Jonoon have just 0.5 scored and concede 1.75. In the last 5 matches Qingdao average 1.6 goals and have 60% of games with both teams scoring, whereas Wuhan in the same period average 1.0 goal and have 40% BTTS. xG shows both teams create similar chances (xG 1.2 for Wuhan vs 1.3 for Qingdao), but Qingdao have a low shot conversion of 4% vs 16% for Wuhan, explaining the seasonal gap in goals scored. Additionally Qingdao have not recorded a single clean sheet this season (0%), and the league average for BTTS is 56%, which further raises the probability of both teams scoring. Considering Wuhan’s season BTTS 60%, Qingdao’s recent 60% BTTS and Qingdao’s improved form (1.6 goals in L5), I assign BTTS "Yes" 65% vs 35% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
After accounting for both teams' xG I expect about 1.42 goals for Wuhan (xG 1.20 with xG against Qingdao 1.64) and 1.45 goals for Qingdao (xG 1.30 with xG against Wuhan 1.59), totaling 2.87 expected goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.87 yields roughly a 78% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about 55% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5), which is close to the league average of 2.94 goals per match. Seasonally, Wuhan matches finish Over 1.5 in 60% of cases, while Qingdao matches do so in 75%; Wuhan scores on average 1.8 goals per game, whereas Qingdao scores 0.5 and concedes 1.75 on average (0% clean sheets). The difference in efficiency is shown by shot conversion: Wuhan has a 16% conversion rate, Qingdao 4%, but Qingdao have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (1.6 average), boosting the away goal potential. In summary, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 — high expected total of 2.87 goals, ~78% model probability and seasonal rates of 60%/75% support the Over market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics strongly favor Wuhan: the home side led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%), conceding no goals before halftime (0.0 conceded on average) and scoring 0.8 goals on average in the first half. Qingdao did not lead at halftime in any match (0%), has an average of 0.0 goals at the break and concedes 0.75 goals on average before halftime, and over the whole season scores only 0.5 goals while conceding 1.75 per match. Despite similar xG (Wuhan 1.20 vs Qingdao 1.30), Wuhan attempts a similar number of shots (11.0 vs 12.0) but converts far better (conversion 16% vs 4%), and also has a 60% win rate this season versus Qingdao’s 0%, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. Additionally, Wuhan scored 3 goals in minutes 0–15 versus Qingdao’s 0 and averages 1.0 goal after the break, so the scenario of Wuhan leading at halftime and winning at full-time (1/1) is the strongest. In my projection I assign 54% probability to 1/1, 21% to X/1 (draw at halftime, Wuhan win at full-time) and the remaining combinations a combined 25% due to Qingdao’s low efficiency (4%) and lack of wins this season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wuhan Three Towns | Qingdao Jonoon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qingdao Jonoon is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns · 1.6 pts / match - Qingdao Jonoon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wuhan Three Towns is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns · 1.22 goals / match - Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Jonoon is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns · 1.44 goals / match - Qingdao Jonoon
Wuhan Three Towns scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Qingdao Jonoon keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Qingdao Jonoon scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Wuhan Three Towns keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wuhan Three Towns
Over / Under - Qingdao Jonoon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qingdao Jonoon is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns · 1.56 pts / match - Qingdao Jonoon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wuhan Three Towns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qingdao Jonoon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Jonoon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Wuhan Three Towns | Liga | Qingdao Jonoon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Wuhan Three Towns 1 - 0 - 1 Qingdao Jonoon. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?
The Chinese Super League match finished Wuhan Three Towns 1:3 Qingdao Jonoon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Jonoon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wuhan Three Towns won 1, Qingdao Jonoon won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Wuhan Three Towns score 1.33 goals per game on average and Qingdao Jonoon 1.22. The Chinese Super League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Wuhan Three Towns's matches and 56% of Qingdao Jonoon's.
What form are Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Jonoon in?
Over the last 5 games Wuhan Three Towns have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Qingdao Jonoon 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.