Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City: match statistics
Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wuxi Wugou played Nanjing City in China League One (China). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Wuxi Wugou: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Nanjing City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wuxi Wugou scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nanjing City scores 0.88 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wuxi Wugou 38%, Nanjing City 38%. Over 2.5: Wuxi Wugou 38%, Nanjing City 25%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Wuxi Wugou has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.22. Wuxi Wugou: 11.6 shots per match, Nanjing City: 11.0.
Match halves
Wuxi Wugou: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Nanjing City: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Wuxi Wugou: 31-45+ (4 goals). Nanjing City: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wuxi Wugou has a clear advantage in possession and home offense: averaging 56% possession and 2.0 goals per home match versus 38% possession and only 0.33 goals per away match recorded by Nanjing City. The hosts average 14.25 shots and 4.25 on target per home game with a conversion rate of 14%, while the visitors manage 10.33 shots and 1.67 on target with just a 3% conversion. Defensively Wuxi concedes 0.75 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 75% of home fixtures, whereas Nanjing concedes 1.00 goals away and has 0% clean sheets on the road. In the last five matches the hosts are 1-2-2 averaging 1.0 point per game, the visitors are 2-0-3 averaging 1.2 points per game, but have yet to win any away match this season. Considering the xG advantage (1.81 vs 0.97), superior conversion (14% vs 3%) and home defensive resilience, I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors a “No” outcome for BTTS. Wuxi Wugou at home averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 0.8 per match, and keeps a clean sheet in 60% of games this season, which materially reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Nanjing City demonstrates poor offensive efficiency — seasonally just 0.33 goals per match, 1.67 shots on target and a conversion rate of ~3% — their BTTS occurrence is 33%, with 0% clean sheets. In the last 5 fixtures the visitors improved xG to 1.23 and average 0.8 goals (4 goals in 5 matches), while the hosts have xG 1.44 and 1.0 goal in their last 5, yet the hosts’ defensive edge (60% clean sheets vs 0% for the visitors) is decisive. Based on these figures I assign a 30% probability to BTTS and 70% to No BTTS, therefore I recommend backing “No” (No Goal / clean sheet expected).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and Poisson simulation produce expected goals of 1.40 for Wuxi and 1.00 for Nanjing, totaling 2.40; the Poisson model yields probabilities of Over 1.5 goals at 69%, Over 2.5 at 43% and Over 3.5 at 22%. Wuxi has a seasonal average of 1.2 goals scored and xG 1.37 with 4.0 shots on target and a conversion rate of 11%, while Nanjing scores only 0.33 goals on average and has xG 0.97 from 1.67 shots on target with a 3% conversion. Nanjing concedes 1.42 xG per match, whereas Wuxi’s defense allows 1.03 xG; additionally Nanjing has no clean sheets this season (0%), which increases the likelihood of home goals. Conversely Wuxi has kept a clean sheet in 60% of matches, and both teams display low Over 2.5 rates this season (Wuxi 40%, Nanjing 0%), so a move to Over 2.5 has only moderate backing. Based on this, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the home side leading at the break and winning at full-time (1/1) — I assess this at 34%. Hosts led at half-time in 40% of matches, have a 60% home win rate and average 2.0 points per home game, which increases the chance of maintaining a lead. Additionally, the home team generates higher xG (1.37 vs. 0.97), registers more shots on target (4.0 vs. 1.67) and has better conversion (11% vs. 3%), and after the break they score on average 0.6 goals versus 0.0 for the visitors, all favoring a final victory. A half-time draw with a subsequent home win (X/1) I rated at 24% due to the high frequency of first-half draws (40%) and the hosts’ dominance in the second half; scenarios with an away win are least likely because the visitors have no away wins (0%) and perform poorly after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wuxi Wugou | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nanjing City is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Wuxi Wugou · 1.4 pts / match - Nanjing City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wuxi Wugou is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Wuxi Wugou · 0.88 goals / match - Nanjing City
Nanjing City is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Wuxi Wugou · 0.88 goals / match - Nanjing City
Wuxi Wugou scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Nanjing City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Nanjing City scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Wuxi Wugou keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wuxi Wugou
Over / Under - Nanjing City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wuxi Wugou is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Wuxi Wugou · 1.5 pts / match - Nanjing City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wuxi Wugou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nanjing City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wuxi Wugou
Nanjing City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Wuxi Wugou | Liga | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City?
The China League One match finished Wuxi Wugou 1:1 Nanjing City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City?
Wuxi Wugou score 1.50 goals per game on average and Nanjing City 0.88. The China League One average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Wuxi Wugou's matches and 38% of Nanjing City's.
What form are Wuxi Wugou and Nanjing City in?
Over the last 5 games Wuxi Wugou have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nanjing City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City?
The statistical background for Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.