Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion: match statistics
Wycombe Wanderers presents significantly stronger home form with an impressive win rate of 59% and a goal difference of +17 in home matches. The hosts average 1.94 goals per match with only 18% of games without scoring, making their offense very effective. Burton Albion has poor results on away trips – only 19% wins, 44% losses, and a negative goal difference of -7, indicating problems both in defense (average 1.5 conceded goals) and offense (average 1.06 goals scored). The difference in possession (52% vs 41%) and shot efficiency (14% vs 10%) further speaks in favor of the hosts. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 points per match each), but Wycombe's advantage in home matches and Burton's weakness away gives the hosts a clear edge in this clash.
Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wycombe Wanderers played Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Wycombe Wanderers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Burton Albion: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wycombe Wanderers scores 1.39 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.15 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wycombe Wanderers 55%, Burton Albion 45%. Over 2.5: Wycombe Wanderers 45%, Burton Albion 58%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Wycombe Wanderers has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.37. Wycombe Wanderers: 12.7 shots per match, Burton Albion: 11.7.
Match halves
Wycombe Wanderers: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.76. Burton Albion: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Wycombe Wanderers: 61-75 (12 goals). Burton Albion: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wycombe Wanderers presents significantly stronger home form with an impressive win rate of 59% and a goal difference of +17 in home matches. The hosts average 1.94 goals per match with only 18% of games without scoring, making their offense very effective. Burton Albion has poor results on away trips – only 19% wins, 44% losses, and a negative goal difference of -7, indicating problems both in defense (average 1.5 conceded goals) and offense (average 1.06 goals scored). The difference in possession (52% vs 41%) and shot efficiency (14% vs 10%) further speaks in favor of the hosts. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 points per match each), but Wycombe's advantage in home matches and Burton's weakness away gives the hosts a clear edge in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wycombe Wanderers | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wycombe Wanderers is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1.15 goals / match - Burton Albion
Wycombe Wanderers is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1.39 goals / match - Burton Albion
Wycombe Wanderers scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Wycombe Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wycombe Wanderers
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wycombe Wanderers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1.21 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wycombe Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wycombe Wanderers
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Wycombe Wanderers | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.61 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wycombe Wanderers 0 - 1 - 0 Burton Albion. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Wycombe Wanderers 3:0 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion?
Wycombe Wanderers score 1.39 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.15. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Wycombe Wanderers's matches and 45% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Wycombe Wanderers and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Wycombe Wanderers have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Burton Albion 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion?
The statistical background for Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.