Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage: match statistics
Wycombe Wanderers display impressive home form with a 56% win rate at home and a +15 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.88 goals per game at home, with only 19% of matches failing to find the net, highlighting their offensive efficiency. Stevenage have a significantly weaker away record with just 31% wins and a negative goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.44 goals per game on the road. The recent form of both teams is balanced (Wycombe 1.6 PPG vs Stevenage 1.8 PPG), yet the hosts' home advantage along with higher xG (1.65 vs 1.08) and ball possession (51% vs 44%) indicators speak in their favor. Statistics show that Wycombe have solid foundations to secure a victory in front of their home crowd, although Stevenage may put up resistance, which justifies a moderate probability of a draw.
Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wycombe Wanderers played Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Wycombe Wanderers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stevenage: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wycombe Wanderers scores 1.34 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.10 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wycombe Wanderers 53%, Stevenage 48%. Over 2.5: Wycombe Wanderers 44%, Stevenage 39%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Wycombe Wanderers has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.18. Wycombe Wanderers: 12.8 shots per match, Stevenage: 9.9.
Match halves
Wycombe Wanderers: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.72. Stevenage: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Wycombe Wanderers: 61-75 (11 goals). Stevenage: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wycombe Wanderers display impressive home form with a 56% win rate at home and a +15 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.88 goals per game at home, with only 19% of matches failing to find the net, highlighting their offensive efficiency. Stevenage have a significantly weaker away record with just 31% wins and a negative goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.44 goals per game on the road. The recent form of both teams is balanced (Wycombe 1.6 PPG vs Stevenage 1.8 PPG), yet the hosts' home advantage along with higher xG (1.65 vs 1.08) and ball possession (51% vs 44%) indicators speak in their favor. Statistics show that Wycombe have solid foundations to secure a victory in front of their home crowd, although Stevenage may put up resistance, which justifies a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wycombe Wanderers | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stevenage is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1.8 pts / match - Stevenage
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wycombe Wanderers is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1.1 goals / match - Stevenage
Stevenage is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1 goals / match - Stevenage
Wycombe Wanderers scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
Stevenage scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Wycombe Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wycombe Wanderers
Over / Under - Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wycombe Wanderers is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Wycombe Wanderers · 1.23 pts / match - Stevenage
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wycombe Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 34%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wycombe Wanderers
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Wycombe Wanderers | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wycombe Wanderers 0 - 0 - 1 Stevenage. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Wycombe Wanderers 3:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage?
Wycombe Wanderers score 1.34 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.10. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Wycombe Wanderers's matches and 48% of Stevenage's.
What form are Wycombe Wanderers and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Wycombe Wanderers have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stevenage 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.