Xorazm vs Neftchi: match statistics
Xorazm vs Neftchi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Xorazm played Neftchi in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Xorazm: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Neftchi: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Xorazm scores 1.13 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Neftchi scores 2.38 and concedes 0.38. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Xorazm 63%, Neftchi 25%. Over 2.5: Xorazm 38%, Neftchi 75%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.75 vs 0.97. Xorazm: 7.3 shots per match, Neftchi: 15.3.
Match halves
Xorazm: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.88. Neftchi: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Xorazm: 46-60 (4 goals). Neftchi: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi is the clear favorite: the visitors sit 2nd, have 7 wins and only 1 loss this season and have scored 19 goals versus Xorazm’s 9. Away, Neftchi win 100% of matches, average 2.67 goals scored and concede 0 (avg 0), with 17.67 shots and 7.67 shots on target per game; Xorazm at home average 1.5 goals scored, concede 1.25 and register 8.75 shots with about 2 on target. Quality of chances also favors the visitors: Neftchi’s average away xG is 2.08 versus the home xG of 1.13, and conversion is 15% for Neftchi vs 17% for Xorazm — so Xorazm converts better but has far fewer opportunities. In the last 5 matches Neftchi scored 10 goals and won 4 of 5 (avg 2.4 points per game), while Xorazm have 7 goals and 2 wins in that period (avg 1.6 points per game). Considering 100% away efficiency, zero average goals conceded, superiority in shots (17.67 vs 8.75) and higher xG, I predict a win for the visitors; a draw is possible but less likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The key signal against BTTS is Neftchi: season average goals conceded away is 0.0, away clean sheet percentage 100% and season BTTS 0%. Xorazm at home averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded for the season, and in the last 5 matches they scored 7 and conceded 6 (avg 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded), with their last 5 games showing BTTS at 80%. Neftchi’s attack is stronger by xG: xG_for_avg_away 2.08 versus xG_for_avg_home 1.55, and Neftchi has a season average of 2.67 goals (19 goals in the season), so they are the more likely scorer. The combination of Neftchi’s effective attack (2.08 xG and 2.67 avg) with their perfect away defensive stats (0.0 avg and 100% clean sheets) increases the probability that only Neftchi will score. Based on this I assess a 30% chance of BTTS and 70% chance of no BTTS, therefore I pick No as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on averaging Xorazm’s offensive xG (1.55) and Neftchi’s defensive xG (0.95), I estimate Xorazm will score about 1.25 goals; similarly Neftchi (xG_for 2.08 vs xG_against 0.95) has an expected 1.52 goals, totalling 2.77 goals. Seasonal averages confirm a strong offensive profile: Xorazm scores 2.20 goals per match on average, Neftchi 2.67, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 is 80% for Xorazm and 67% for Neftchi (average ~74%). From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.77 the probabilities are: over 1.5 ≈76% (at least 2 goals), over 2.5 ≈52% (at least 3 goals) and over 3.5 ≈30% (at least 4 goals), with the xG model being slightly more conservative than seasonal over 2.5 rates. Additionally Neftchi averages 17.67 shots and 7.67 on target per match with a conversion of 15%, Xorazm 13.8 shots and 4.2 on target with a 16% conversion – this supports the expectation of goals above 1.5. Therefore the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is the over 1.5 play (selection: over at the 1.5 line), while over 2.5 remains only moderately likely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Neftchi is the clear favorite: the visitors have won 100% of matches (winPercentage_away = 100.0) and led at the break in 3 of 3 games (leadingAtHT_away = 3, leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 100.0). Their attack generates an average xG of 2.08 versus 1.55 for the hosts, they register on average 7.67 shots on target compared to 4.2 for the home side, and their goals-per-game average is 2.67 for the visitors versus 2.2 for the hosts. Additionally, Neftchi concede on average 0.0 goals (seasonConcededAVG_away = 0.0) and keep a clean sheet in 100% of matches (seasonCSPercentage_away = 100.0), which strongly supports a visitors’ win and maintaining the lead at half-time. The hosts led at the break in only 2 of 5 matches (leadingAtHT_home = 2, leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 40.0) and won 2 of their last 5 games (last5_winPercentage_overall_home = 40.0), while Neftchi won 4 of 5 (last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 80.0). On that basis the most likely scenario is HT/FT 2/2 (visitors leading at the break and winning at full-time), with X/2 as a less likely alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Xorazm | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Xorazm · 2.4 pts / match - Neftchi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 111% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Xorazm · 2.38 goals / match - Neftchi
Neftchi is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Xorazm · 0.38 goals / match - Neftchi
Xorazm scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
Neftchi scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Xorazm keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Xorazm
Over / Under - Neftchi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Xorazm · 2.13 pts / match - Neftchi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Xorazm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Xorazm
Neftchi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Xorazm | Liga | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 52% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Xorazm 1 - 0 - 1 Neftchi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Xorazm vs Neftchi?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Xorazm 0:2 Neftchi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Xorazm and Neftchi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Xorazm won 1, Neftchi won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Xorazm vs Neftchi?
Xorazm score 1.13 goals per game on average and Neftchi 2.38. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Xorazm's matches and 25% of Neftchi's.
What form are Xorazm and Neftchi in?
Over the last 5 games Xorazm have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Neftchi 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Xorazm vs Neftchi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Xorazm vs Neftchi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.