Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueData current as of 24 July 2026

Xorazm vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Xorazm vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Xorazm play Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 28 July 2026 at 17:00.

Current form

Xorazm: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Termez Surkhon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Xorazm scores 0.77 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Xorazm 46%, Termez Surkhon 62%. Over 2.5: Xorazm 38%, Termez Surkhon 54%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Termez Surkhon has higher xG: 1.25 vs 0.98. Xorazm: 7.4 shots per match, Termez Surkhon: 11.6.

Match halves

Xorazm: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.54. Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Xorazm: 46-60 (4 goals). Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.77Goals scored / match1.08
XorazmTermez Surkhon
1.31Goals conceded / match1.62
XorazmTermez Surkhon
49%Average possession55%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
2.23Shots on target / match3
XorazmTermez Surkhon

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.38Shots per match11.62
XorazmTermez Surkhon
2.23Shots on target3
XorazmTermez Surkhon
10.4%Shot conversion9.3%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
49%Possession55%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0.98xG for1.25
XorazmTermez Surkhon
1.44xG against1.5
XorazmTermez Surkhon

Shooting quality

Xorazm: BalancedTermez Surkhon: Balanced
XorazmTermez Surkhon
Accuracy (shots on target)30%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Termez Surkhon is 600% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Xorazm · 1.4 pts / match - Termez Surkhon

Xorazm
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W31% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Termez Surkhon
WLDWL
Season result split
31% W23% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-6
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Termez Surkhon is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

0.77 goals / match - Xorazm · 1.08 goals / match - Termez Surkhon

Xorazm is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Xorazm · 1.62 goals / match - Termez Surkhon

Xorazm scoring profile: very strong

Xorazm scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

Termez Surkhon scoring profile: very strong

Termez Surkhon scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Xorazm keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

10Goals scored (season)14
XorazmTermez Surkhon
17Goals conceded (season)21
XorazmTermez Surkhon
2.08Average goals in match2.69
XorazmTermez Surkhon
1Goals scored (last 5)8
XorazmTermez Surkhon
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
XorazmTermez Surkhon

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal69%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
15%2 goals31%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0%3 goals8%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0%4 goals0%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal85%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
46%2 goals38%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
8%3 goals23%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0%4 goals8%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time8%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
8%BTTS in both halves0%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
15%Scored in both halves0%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
20%BTTS - last 5100%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
23%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Termez Surkhon is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.77 pts / match - Xorazm · 0.85 pts / match - Termez Surkhon

Xorazm - half-time state
8% leading54% draw38% trailing
Termez Surkhon - half-time state
15% leading38% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.77Points per match (1st half)0.85
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0.23Goals scored (1st half)0.31
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0.92Average goals (1st half)0.92
XorazmTermez Surkhon
46%Clean sheet before half-time46%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
77%No goal before half-time85%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

After half-time (2nd half)

1.23Points per match (2nd half)1.15
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
XorazmTermez Surkhon
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)1
XorazmTermez Surkhon
1.15Average goals (2nd half)1.77
XorazmTermez Surkhon
38%Clean sheet after half-time31%
XorazmTermez Surkhon
46%No goal after half-time46%
XorazmTermez Surkhon

Xorazm - second-half results

31% W31% R38% P
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding288%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Termez Surkhon - second-half results

31% W23% R46% P
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Xorazm - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Termez Surkhon - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match0.82.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Xorazm
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
5
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Termez Surkhon
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Xorazm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Termez Surkhon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

XorazmLigaTermez Surkhon
Average goals in match 2.082.63 2.69
Both teams scored 46%57% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%53% 54%
Clean sheets 23%25% 15%
Goal before half-time 62%69% 62%
Goal after half-time 92%78% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Xorazm 1 - 1 - 0 Termez Surkhon. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Xorazm FK Urganch
2 : 2
Termez Surkhon
Termez Surkhon
0 : 2
Xorazm FK Urganch

FAQ

When do Xorazm and Termez Surkhon play?

Xorazm face Termez Surkhon on 28 July 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Xorazm and Termez Surkhon?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Xorazm won 1, Termez Surkhon won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Xorazm vs Termez Surkhon?

Xorazm score 0.77 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 1.08. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Xorazm's matches and 62% of Termez Surkhon's.

What form are Xorazm and Termez Surkhon in?

Over the last 5 games Xorazm have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Xorazm vs Termez Surkhon?

The statistical background for Xorazm vs Termez Surkhon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.