Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech: match statistics
Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yacoub El Mansour played Kawkab Marrakech in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Yacoub El Mansour: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Kawkab Marrakech: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yacoub El Mansour scores 1.00 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Kawkab Marrakech scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yacoub El Mansour 68%, Kawkab Marrakech 53%. Over 2.5: Yacoub El Mansour 47%, Kawkab Marrakech 37%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Yacoub El Mansour has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.34. Yacoub El Mansour: 11.1 shots per match, Kawkab Marrakech: 11.5.
Match halves
Yacoub El Mansour: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.63. Kawkab Marrakech: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Yacoub El Mansour: 61-75 (6 goals). Kawkab Marrakech: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Yacoub El Mansour averages 1.11 goals scored at home with mean xG 1.47 per match, while Kawkab Marrakech scores only 0.56 goals away with xG 1.31, giving the hosts an advantage in chance creation and finishing. At the same time the visitors are more resilient defensively on the road — conceding 0.89 goals per away match versus the hosts’ 1.67 at home; across the season Yacoub has conceded 30 goals compared to Kawkab’s 16, which evens out the prospects. In the last 5 matches Kawkab is 2-2-1 averaging 1.6 points per game, while Yacoub is 1-3-1 with 1.2 points per game, so form slightly favors the visitors. Large differences in goal droughts are also visible — Kawkab failed to score in 44% of away matches, whereas the hosts failed to score in only 11% of home games, and shot conversion rate is 9% for the hosts versus 5% for the visitors. Considering the hosts’ superiority in chance creation (xG 1.47 vs 1.31) and finishing (1.11 goals vs 0.56), but also the visitors’ better defense, I assess a small home-favoritism for victory with a realistic chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes comes from the home side’s statistics: Yacoub El Mansour has a season BTTS rate of 60% and BTTS occurred in all of their last 5 matches (100%), while Kawkab Marrakech has a season BTTS of 44% and only 40% in their last 5. Both teams create scoring chances — xG is 1.29 for the home team vs 1.31 for the visitors, and shots on target average 3.4 vs 3.0, which suggests realistic chances of at least one goal from both sides. Defensively the picture is mixed: the home team conceded 30 goals this season and 8 in the last 5 (1.6 avg), whereas the visitors conceded 16 this season and only 3 in the last 5 (0.6 avg), indicating the visitors generally keep cleaner sheets. However the home advantage is efficiency — home conversion rate is 12% vs 5% for the visitors, and in the last 5 matches the home team scored 7 goals (1.4 avg) vs 4 goals for the visitors (0.8 avg), so the probability that both teams score increases. In summary: a strong historical and recent BTTS signal from the home side (60% and 100%) plus comparable xG and high conversion lead me to rate BTTS at 65% vs 35% and I pick 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of 2.30 goals: 1.35 for Yacoub El Mansour and 0.95 for Kawkab Marrakech, based on xG and seasonal averages. Home xG is 1.29 versus away xG conceded 1.36 (approx. 1.33 average for the home side); away xG is 1.31 against home xG conceded 1.26 (approx. 1.29 average), however the visitors’ low shot conversion rate (5% vs 12% for the hosts) reduces the realistic expected away goals to ~0.95. Season-to-date the hosts have 70% of matches with over 1.5 goals, the visitors 44%, and in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 7 goals (1.4 avg.) versus 4 goals for the visitors (0.8 avg.), which strengthens the over 1.5 signal. The 2.5 line is more balanced: hosts have 60% of games over 2.5 goals, visitors only 11%, but the last 5 matches show 60%/40% (home/away), therefore I assess Over 2.5 at a moderate 55%. Over 3.5 is practically unlikely (seasonal 0% of matches with 4+ goals for either team), so the best selection is Over 1.5 given the projected 2.30 goals and the high incidence of Over 1.5 for the hosts (70%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The analysis shows a clear home advantage: on average the home side scores 1.2 goals per match versus 0.56 for the visitors, earns 1.6 points per home match versus 0.78 away, and wins 40% of games compared to 11% for guests. At half-time the home team leads in 50% of matches and scores on average 0.8 goals in the first half (10 first-half goals vs 4 for visitors), while the away side leads in only 22% of cases. xG is similar (1.29 vs 1.31), but the home team is more efficient in finishing — shot conversion 12% versus 5% for visitors and 3.4 shots on target vs 3.0 — which translates into a tangible goal advantage. The second half usually yields goals (on average 1.0 goal per team in the second half and over 0.5 goals in 70% of home matches vs 67% away), so I expect the home lead at the break to hold and be converted into a win. The strongest scenario is home leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1), to which I assign a 35% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yacoub El Mansour | Kawkab Marrakech | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kawkab Marrakech is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Yacoub El Mansour · 1.6 pts / match - Kawkab Marrakech
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yacoub El Mansour is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Yacoub El Mansour · 0.89 goals / match - Kawkab Marrakech
Kawkab Marrakech is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Yacoub El Mansour · 0.84 goals / match - Kawkab Marrakech
Yacoub El Mansour scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Kawkab Marrakech keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Kawkab Marrakech scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Yacoub El Mansour keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yacoub El Mansour
Over / Under - Kawkab Marrakech
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kawkab Marrakech is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Yacoub El Mansour · 1.58 pts / match - Kawkab Marrakech
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yacoub El Mansour - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kawkab Marrakech - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yacoub El Mansour
Kawkab Marrakech
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Yacoub El Mansour | Liga | Kawkab Marrakech | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.17 | ▼ 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 37% | • 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Yacoub El Mansour 0 - 0 - 1 Kawkab Marrakech. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech?
The Botola Pro match finished Yacoub El Mansour 2:1 Kawkab Marrakech. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech?
Yacoub El Mansour score 1.00 goals per game on average and Kawkab Marrakech 0.89. The Botola Pro average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Yacoub El Mansour's matches and 53% of Kawkab Marrakech's.
What form are Yacoub El Mansour and Kawkab Marrakech in?
Over the last 5 games Yacoub El Mansour have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kawkab Marrakech 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.