Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United: match statistics
Yadanarbon appears as the favorite in this encounter despite weaker recent form. The hosts stand out with significantly higher offensive efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 2.22 goals per match, while Ayeyawady United averages only 1.22 goals away. A key factor is the advantage in xG statistics—Yadanarbon generates an average of 1.78 xG at home, indicating the creation of better scoring chances. Although the hosts have lost their last four matches, their home record (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses) is balanced, and an average of 4.44 goals per match at home suggests a spectacular encounter. Ayeyawady United has better form over the last five matches (1.4 points per match), but their away offense is limited, which may not be enough against the hosts' defense. The difference in average shots on target (7.38 for the hosts vs 3.22 for the visitors) further argues for a Yadanarbon victory.
Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yadanarbon played Ayeyawady United in National League (Myanmar (Burma)). The match was played on 5 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Yadanarbon: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Ayeyawady United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yadanarbon scores 1.79 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Ayeyawady United scores 0.95 and concedes 1.16. League average: 3.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yadanarbon 68%, Ayeyawady United 42%. Over 2.5: Yadanarbon 63%, Ayeyawady United 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Yadanarbon has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.18. Yadanarbon: 11.5 shots per match, Ayeyawady United: 8.2.
Match halves
Yadanarbon: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.89. Ayeyawady United: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Yadanarbon: 76-90+ (9 goals). Ayeyawady United: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.56 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Yadanarbon appears as the favorite in this encounter despite weaker recent form. The hosts stand out with significantly higher offensive efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 2.22 goals per match, while Ayeyawady United averages only 1.22 goals away. A key factor is the advantage in xG statistics—Yadanarbon generates an average of 1.78 xG at home, indicating the creation of better scoring chances. Although the hosts have lost their last four matches, their home record (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses) is balanced, and an average of 4.44 goals per match at home suggests a spectacular encounter. Ayeyawady United has better form over the last five matches (1.4 points per match), but their away offense is limited, which may not be enough against the hosts' defense. The difference in average shots on target (7.38 for the hosts vs 3.22 for the visitors) further argues for a Yadanarbon victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yadanarbon | Ayeyawady United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ayeyawady United is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Yadanarbon · 1.4 pts / match - Ayeyawady United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yadanarbon is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Yadanarbon · 0.95 goals / match - Ayeyawady United
Ayeyawady United is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Yadanarbon · 1.16 goals / match - Ayeyawady United
Yadanarbon scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Ayeyawady United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Ayeyawady United scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Yadanarbon keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yadanarbon
Over / Under - Ayeyawady United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayeyawady United is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Yadanarbon · 1.68 pts / match - Ayeyawady United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yadanarbon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ayeyawady United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yadanarbon
Ayeyawady United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Yadanarbon | Liga | Ayeyawady United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.53 | 3.56 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 68% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Yadanarbon 0 - 0 - 1 Ayeyawady United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
The National League match finished Yadanarbon 2:1 Ayeyawady United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
Yadanarbon score 1.79 goals per game on average and Ayeyawady United 0.95. The National League average is 3.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Yadanarbon's matches and 42% of Ayeyawady United's.
What form are Yadanarbon and Ayeyawady United in?
Over the last 5 games Yadanarbon have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Ayeyawady United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United?
The statistical background for Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.