Yangon City vs Shan United: match statistics

Shan United go into the match on an outstanding run of five consecutive wins, scoring 20 goals during that spell—an average of 4.0 per game. The visitors have conceded just 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging only 0.4 goals conceded per game, which confirms the balance between a highly effective attack and a solid defence. Their tally of 3 points per game during this run clearly indicates complete dominance in terms of results. Yangon City’s data contains no verified season achievements or recent form, providing no statistical basis to oppose the in-form visitors. A convincing Shan United victory is the most likely outcome.

The available data is incomplete because seasonal and form statistics for Yangon City are missing, so the assessment is based mainly on Shan United’s very clear profile. Shan United have won their last five matches, scoring a total of 20 goals—an average of 4.0 per game—and conceding only 2, or 0.4 per match. Their average xG over the last five games is 1.45, while Shan’s opponents created chances worth just 0.23 xG, indicating strong defensive control as well. BTTS - Yes occurred in only 40% of Shan United’s last five matches, meaning the more frequent scenario was a win with at least one team failing to score. The strongest signal is the high probability of Shan United scoring, combined with the hosts’ limited attacking potential, making BTTS - No the more likely outcome.

Shan United are on an excellent run of five consecutive wins, during which they have scored an average of 4.0 goals per match, for a total of 20 goals. At the same time, they have conceded just 2 goals across those five fixtures—an average of 0.4 per match—while their average xG against stands at only 0.23, significantly limiting Yangon City’s scoring outlook. At least 3 goals were scored in 4 of Shan United’s last 5 matches, but the team’s average xG of 1.45 suggests that the 4.0-goal scoring rate from this run may partially regress. The lack of reliable seasonal data on the home side increases uncertainty, but the visitors’ defensive edge points more towards a result around 0:2 or 0:3 than an open, high-scoring game. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals holds the value: four goals would require Shan United to maintain an exceptionally high level of finishing or the hosts to make a clear attacking contribution, neither of which is strongly supported by the available data.

The strongest signal is Shan United’s current form: the team has won all of its last five matches, scoring an average of 4.0 goals and conceding just 0.4. In each of those five matches, Shan United were already leading at the break, with a first-half average of 1.6 goals scored and 0 conceded. After the interval, the visitors remained highly dangerous, adding an average of 2.4 goals, while their opponents managed just 0.4 against them. The lack of available statistical data for Yangon City lowers the model’s confidence; however, Shan United’s five-match winning streak and 100% record of leading at half-time clearly support an away win in both halves. The draw-at-half-time and Shan United win scenarios also have a significant share, but they are weaker than the direct 2/2 outcome.