Yate Town vs Evesham United: match statistics
Yate Town vs Evesham United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yate Town play Evesham United in Southern League Premier South (England). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Yate Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Evesham United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yate Town scores 1.36 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Evesham United scores 1.21 and concedes 1.48. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yate Town 57%, Evesham United 60%. Over 2.5: Yate Town 57%, Evesham United 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Yate Town has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.16. Yate Town: 1.9 shots per match, Evesham United: 1.1.
Match halves
Yate Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79. Evesham United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Yate Town: 76-90+ (17 goals). Evesham United: 16-30 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1); Yate Town averages 1.37 goals scored and concedes 1.00 at home, while Evesham on the road scores 1.11 and concedes 2.00, which gives a clear defensive advantage to the hosts. The hosts generate more and higher-quality chances — at home they average 11 shots with 4.4 on target and a shot efficiency of 25%, whereas Evesham averages 7.67 shots and 3.33 on target with a 15% conversion rate. This is confirmed by xG analysis: Yate’s home xG is 1.42 versus Evesham’s 1.18, and xG against is 0.86 for the hosts versus 1.31 for the visitors, meaning the hosts create more expected goals and allow fewer quality opponent chances. Additionally, Yate has 32% of home games with clean sheets, while Evesham has not recorded any clean sheets away (0%), and the home goal difference is +7 for Yate versus -17 for Evesham on the road, reinforcing the home advantage. The last 5 matches show a similar points pace (1 point per game on average for both teams and respectively 6 vs 5 goals scored), but better efficiency, a higher number of shots on target and lower xG against favor Yate; I estimate a 60% probability of a home win, 25% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yate Town | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 10% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.61 | 1.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.83 | 12.10 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yate Town is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Yate Town · 1 pts / match - Evesham United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yate Town is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.21 goals / match - Evesham United
Yate Town scores in 71% of matches (30 of 42 matches), while Evesham United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (6 of 42 matches).
Evesham United scores in 69% of matches (29 of 42 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 21% (9 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Yate Town
Over / Under — Evesham United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Evesham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yate Town
Evesham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Yate Town | Liga | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Yate Town 1 - 0 - 0 Evesham United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yate Town vs Evesham United?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Yate Town 3:0 Evesham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Yate Town vs Evesham United?
Yate Town score 1.36 goals per game on average and Evesham United 1.21. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Yate Town's matches and 60% of Evesham United's.
What form are Yate Town and Evesham United in?
Over the last 5 games Yate Town have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Evesham United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yate Town vs Evesham United?
The statistical background for Yate Town vs Evesham United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.