Yate Town vs Frome Town: match statistics
Yate Town vs Frome Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yate Town played Frome Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Lodge Road. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Yate Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Frome Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yate Town scores 1.25 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Frome Town scores 1.56 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yate Town 75%, Frome Town 44%. Over 2.5: Yate Town 63%, Frome Town 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Frome Town has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.03. Yate Town: -0.1 shots per match, Frome Town: 4.2.
Match halves
Yate Town: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.38. Frome Town: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Yate Town: 31-45+ (4 goals). Frome Town: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Yate Town have won 2 of their 3 home matches, while Frome Town have lost 2 of their 4 away games, making the hosts slight favourites. Yate also have the edge in recent form: they have picked up 8 points and conceded just 4 goals in their last five matches, while Frome have taken 5 points and conceded 9. However, the visitors can still pose a threat — they average 1.5 goals away from home, with an xG of 1.71 against an average of 1.06 xG conceded by their opponents' defence. The hosts concede an average of 1.67 goals at home, so a Yate win is far from certain, but their more consistent performances in recent matches give them a narrow advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing BTTS - No, as Frome Town failed to score in 50% of their away matches, while Yate Town kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home games. The historical frequency of both teams scoring also calls for caution: it stands at 25% for Frome away and 50% for Yate at home, compared with a league average of 56%. This is not a strong signal, however, as both teams have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 5 matches, while Frome conceded 1.8 goals per game in that period. Despite the visitors’ recent defensive struggles, the chance that they fail to score marginally outweighs the scenario in which both teams find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: 75% of both teams’ matches this season finished below that line, and none of the match samples recorded more than 4 goals. Both sides average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, pointing more towards a total of around 2–3 goals than a high-scoring game. In their last five matches, Yate conceded an average of 0.8 goals, compared with 1.8 for Frome, giving the hosts slightly greater scoring potential. At the same time, Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Yate’s recent matches but only 40% of Frome’s, so that line offers no clear edge. The projected total of 2.60 goals supports backing Under 3.5 goals, although the league average of 3.06 limits confidence in the pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Yate Town win, as the hosts were level at the break in 50% of their matches this season, with that figure rising to 75% over the most recent period available. Their advantage may emerge after the interval: they won 75% of second halves in the season data, compared with 25% for Frome Town. Recent form also favours the hosts—they averaged 1.6 points per match versus the visitors’ 1.0, and conceded 0.8 goals compared with 1.8 for their opponents. However, the pick is not clear-cut, as Frome led at the break in 50% of their matches this season, so an early lead for the visitors cannot be ruled out. Overall, Yate Town’s frequent half-time draws and the hosts’ stronger second-half results point most strongly to X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yate Town | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 1.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Frome Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.6 pts / match - Frome Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Frome Town is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.56 goals / match - Frome Town
Frome Town is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.11 goals / match - Frome Town
Yate Town scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Frome Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Frome Town scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yate Town
Over / Under - Frome Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yate Town is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.67 pts / match - Frome Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Frome Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yate Town
Frome Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Yate Town | Liga | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 3.03 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Yate TownGoalMatt Green
FAQ
What was the result of Yate Town vs Frome Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Yate Town 3:3 Frome Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Yate Town vs Frome Town?
Yate Town score 1.25 goals per game on average and Frome Town 1.56. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Yate Town's matches and 44% of Frome Town's.
What form are Yate Town and Frome Town in?
Over the last 5 games Yate Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Frome Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yate Town vs Frome Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.