Yate Town vs Poole Town: match statistics
Poole Town demonstrates significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors boast an impressive record of 18 wins with just 8 defeats and a 50% away win percentage, while Yate Town has managed only 9 wins and suffered as many as 18 losses. The form in the last 5 matches also favors the visitors – Poole has earned 1.4 points per game compared to just 0.2 for Yate Town, which has lost 4 of its last 5 matches. Poole Town scores an average of 1.63 goals away from home and fails to score less frequently (19% FTS) compared to the hosts' 35% at home. Additionally, the visitors have a positive goal difference (+5) on the road, which, combined with Yate Town's poor defense (conceding an average of 1 goal at home), gives them a real advantage. All key indicators point to a Poole Town victory in this encounter.
Yate Town vs Poole Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yate Town played Poole Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 24 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Yate Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Poole Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yate Town scores 1.17 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Poole Town scores 1.97 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yate Town 57%, Poole Town 60%. Over 2.5: Yate Town 54%, Poole Town 60%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Poole Town has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.17. Yate Town: 1.9 shots per match, Poole Town: 1.7.
Match halves
Yate Town: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.69. Poole Town: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Yate Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). Poole Town: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Poole Town demonstrates significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors boast an impressive record of 18 wins with just 8 defeats and a 50% away win percentage, while Yate Town has managed only 9 wins and suffered as many as 18 losses. The form in the last 5 matches also favors the visitors – Poole has earned 1.4 points per game compared to just 0.2 for Yate Town, which has lost 4 of its last 5 matches. Poole Town scores an average of 1.63 goals away from home and fails to score less frequently (19% FTS) compared to the hosts' 35% at home. Additionally, the visitors have a positive goal difference (+5) on the road, which, combined with Yate Town's poor defense (conceding an average of 1 goal at home), gives them a real advantage. All key indicators point to a Poole Town victory in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data supports BTTS: Yate Town has a 56% BTTS rate, and Poole Town 63%, against a league average of 60%. Both teams have moderately low clean sheet rates (33% home, 25% away) and low FTS rates (11% and 19%), which increases the chances of a goal from both sides. The goal profile also favors this: Yate scores an average of 2.28 goals, Poole 1.63, while both teams concede over 1 goal per match (1.11 and 1.31). The last 5 matches further boost the BTTS signal (60% Yate, 80% Poole), with Yate conceding as many as 2.0 goals per match in this period, which should give Poole a real chance to score. The risk for BTTS is Yate's weaker recent offensive productivity (0.6 goals/match in L5), but the seasonal scoring tempo and high share of matches over 2.5 goals (61% and 56%) still argue for the 'yes' option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal-scoring profile of both teams and the league favours matches with goals: the league average is 3.15 goals, with Yate Town averaging 2.28 goals scored per match and 1.11 conceded. Poole Town adds 1.63 goals scored and 1.31 conceded, supporting a scenario of at least two goals. The seasonal Over 1.5 rates are high (Yate 72%, Poole 81%), and BTTS is also frequent (56% and 63%), raising the baseline probability for Over. The 2.5 line also has solid support (61% and 56%), however a drop is visible for Over 3.5 (44% vs 25%), so the risk assessment increases above 3 goals. The expected goals of 2.95 come from the combination of offensive output and defensive quality, with Poole's moderately high xG against (1.67) supporting the hosts' tally. The strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Over the course of the season, Yate Town exhibits a distinct 'home strong' profile: 1.94 PPG, a 56% win rate, averaging 2.28 goals scored at home and only 1.11 conceded, which supports a scenario of taking a lead at the break and seeing it through. Poole Town has weaker defensive stability away from home (1.31 goals conceded, 1.67 xG against, and a 31% loss rate), making them more prone to conceding chances under the host's pressure. Statistically, first halves are cautious (BTTS HT: 17% vs 19%, high CS HT: 72% vs 63%), but both teams quite often lead at halftime (44% each), sustaining a solid probability for a 1/1 outcome. Furthermore, Yate boasts a better second-half balance and output over the season (second half: 1.56 PPG and GD +12), favoring their ability to maintain an advantage after a potential halftime lead. However, Yate's very poor recent form over the last 5 matches (0.2 PPG, 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded) coupled with Poole's better results (1.4 PPG) increases the shares of the X/1 and X/X variants, meaning the probability distribution is not extreme.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yate Town | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.39 | 3.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Poole Town is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.4 pts / match - Poole Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Poole Town is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.97 goals / match - Poole Town
Poole Town is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.2 goals / match - Poole Town
Yate Town scores in 66% of matches (23 of 35 matches), while Poole Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
Poole Town scores in 86% of matches (30 of 35 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yate Town
Over / Under - Poole Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Poole Town is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.71 pts / match - Poole Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Poole Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yate Town
Poole Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Yate Town | Liga | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.77 | 3.15 | • 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 61% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Yate Town 0 - 1 - 0 Poole Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yate Town vs Poole Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Yate Town 2:2 Poole Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Yate Town vs Poole Town?
Yate Town score 1.17 goals per game on average and Poole Town 1.97. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Yate Town's matches and 60% of Poole Town's.
What form are Yate Town and Poole Town in?
Over the last 5 games Yate Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Poole Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yate Town vs Poole Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yate Town vs Poole Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.