England - Southern League Premier SouthLodge RoadData current as of 23 October 2026

Yate Town vs Wimborne Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Yate Town vs Wimborne Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Yate Town play Wimborne Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match date is 27 October 2026. Venue: Lodge Road.

Current form

Yate Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Wimborne Town: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Yate Town scores 1.33 and concedes 2.08 goals per match. Wimborne Town scores 1.82 and concedes 0.82. League average: 3.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Yate Town 75%, Wimborne Town 27%. Over 2.5: Yate Town 67%, Wimborne Town 45%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Yate Town has higher xG: 0.91 vs 0.66. Yate Town: 0.3 shots per match, Wimborne Town: -0.1.

Match halves

Yate Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Wimborne Town: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Yate Town: 31-45+ (6 goals). Wimborne Town: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Southern League Premier South: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Yate TownWimborne Town
1.33Goals scored / match1.82
Yate TownWimborne Town
2.08Goals conceded / match0.82
Yate TownWimborne Town
7%Average possession8%
Yate TownWimborne Town
-0.25Shots on target / match-0.45
Yate TownWimborne Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

0.25Shots per match-0.09
Yate TownWimborne Town
-0.25Shots on target-0.45
Yate TownWimborne Town
533.3%Shot conversion-2000%
Yate TownWimborne Town
7%Possession8%
Yate TownWimborne Town
0.91xG for0.66
Yate TownWimborne Town
1.05xG against1.27
Yate TownWimborne Town

Shooting quality

Yate Town: Counter-attackingWimborne Town: Balanced
Yate TownWimborne Town
Accuracy (shots on target)-100%0%
Chance quality (xG per shot)3.640.00
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Wimborne Town is 500% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Yate Town · 2.4 pts / match - Wimborne Town

Yate Town
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W33% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-5
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 0.78Opponent xG: 0.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Wimborne Town
WWWLW
Season result split
45% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-3
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wimborne Town is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Yate Town · 1.82 goals / match - Wimborne Town

Wimborne Town is 154% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.08 goals / match - Yate Town · 0.82 goals / match - Wimborne Town

Yate Town scoring profile: strong

Yate Town scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Wimborne Town keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).

Wimborne Town scoring profile: very strong

Wimborne Town scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

16Goals scored (season)20
Yate TownWimborne Town
25Goals conceded (season)9
Yate TownWimborne Town
3.42Average goals in match2.64
Yate TownWimborne Town
6Goals scored (last 5)16
Yate TownWimborne Town
14Goals conceded (last 5)5
Yate TownWimborne Town

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal64%
Yate TownWimborne Town
33%2 goals45%
Yate TownWimborne Town
17%3 goals36%
Yate TownWimborne Town
0%4 goals18%
Yate TownWimborne Town

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal45%
Yate TownWimborne Town
58%2 goals27%
Yate TownWimborne Town
42%3 goals9%
Yate TownWimborne Town
17%4 goals0%
Yate TownWimborne Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time18%
Yate TownWimborne Town
8%BTTS in both halves9%
Yate TownWimborne Town
8%Scored in both halves45%
Yate TownWimborne Town

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
Yate TownWimborne Town
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
Yate TownWimborne Town
60%BTTS - last 540%
Yate TownWimborne Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Yate TownWimborne Town
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Yate TownWimborne Town
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Yate TownWimborne Town

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Yate TownWimborne Town
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Yate TownWimborne Town
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Yate TownWimborne Town

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Wimborne Town is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Yate Town · 1.73 pts / match - Wimborne Town

Yate Town - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Wimborne Town - half-time state
45% leading36% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.73
Yate TownWimborne Town
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.82
Yate TownWimborne Town
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Yate TownWimborne Town
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.18
Yate TownWimborne Town
58%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Yate TownWimborne Town
42%No goal before half-time45%
Yate TownWimborne Town

After half-time (2nd half)

0.42Points per match (2nd half)1.73
Yate TownWimborne Town
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
Yate TownWimborne Town
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Yate TownWimborne Town
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Yate TownWimborne Town
17%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Yate TownWimborne Town
67%No goal after half-time45%
Yate TownWimborne Town

Yate Town - second-half results

0% W42% D58% L
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Wimborne Town - second-half results

45% W36% D18% L
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Yate Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.6
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Wimborne Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.40
Goals scored / match1.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+6+5
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Yate Town
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
5
16-30
6
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Wimborne Town
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.03
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Yate Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Wimborne Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).

Teams vs league

Yate TownLigaWimborne Town
Average goals in match▲ 3.423.14▼ 2.64
Both teams scored▲ 75%59%▼ 27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%59%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 8%22%▲ 55%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%77%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%86%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Yate Town 0 - 1 - 2 Wimborne Town. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do Yate Town and Wimborne Town play?

Yate Town face Wimborne Town on 27 October 2026 in Southern League Premier South at Lodge Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Yate Town and Wimborne Town?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Yate Town won 0, Wimborne Town won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Yate Town vs Wimborne Town?

Yate Town score 1.33 goals per game on average and Wimborne Town 1.82. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Yate Town's matches and 27% of Wimborne Town's.

What form are Yate Town and Wimborne Town in?

Over the last 5 games Yate Town have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Wimborne Town 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yate Town vs Wimborne Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yate Town vs Wimborne Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.