Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe: match statistics
Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yelimay Semey played Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Yelimay Semey: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Aktobe: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yelimay Semey scores 1.40 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Aktobe scores 1.46 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yelimay Semey 60%, Aktobe 58%. Over 2.5: Yelimay Semey 52%, Aktobe 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Yelimay Semey has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.53. Yelimay Semey: 14.0 shots per match, Aktobe: 13.5.
Match halves
Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84. Aktobe: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (12 goals). Aktobe: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Aktobe sit 5th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, they win just 23% of their away games and lose 54%. Yelimay Semey win 42% of their home matches and create more chances, averaging 1.75 xG compared with Aktobe’s 1.35 away from home. The hosts average 15.18 shots at home, including 5.64 on target, while the visitors record 11.62 and 3.77 respectively on the road. Aktobe’s defensive record also favours the hosts: the visitors concede an average of 1.62 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, although Yelimay have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches. Home advantage therefore gives Yelimay a slight edge, but Aktobe’s recent form leaves the visitors with a realistic chance of taking points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Yelimay averages 1.69 goals per match, while Aktobe concede 1.62 and have yet to keep a clean sheet, making a home goal likely. An away goal may be harder to come by, as Yelimay kept a clean sheet in 54% of their matches and Aktobe failed to score in 31%. Recent form weakens this argument, however: across their last five matches, the hosts conceded an average of 1.8 goals, while the visitors scored 1.6 and BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of their games. With season-long BTTS rates of 46% for Yelimay and 69% for Aktobe, the case for both teams to score is moderate but clear.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Yelimay score an average of 1.69 goals, while Aktobe concede 1.62, giving the hosts a solid platform to find the net. Aktobe, meanwhile, average 1.23 goals, although Yelimay’s defence restricts opponents to 0.77; accordingly, I expect around 1.68 goals from the hosts and 1.02 from the visitors. At least two goals were scored in 69% of Yelimay’s matches and 77% of Aktobe’s, while in their last five appearances, both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively. Over 1.5 goals is therefore the strongest pick: it requires just two goals and is backed more convincingly by the data than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Yelimay win 69% of their home matches, while Aktobe lose 54% of their away games, which points to a home win. Yelimay led at the break in 46% of their matches, while Aktobe were trailing at that stage in 38% of their away games; the hosts score an average of 0.62 goals in the first half, matching the number the visitors concede. The advantage could be maintained after the break, as Yelimay average 1.08 goals in the second half and Aktobe concede 1.00. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is far from a certainty: Aktobe have won three of their last five meetings, compared with two for Yelimay, so a draw at half-time followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yelimay Semey | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aktobe is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Yelimay Semey · 2 pts / match - Aktobe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Yelimay Semey · 1.19 goals / match - Aktobe
Yelimay Semey scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Aktobe scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yelimay Semey
Over / Under - Aktobe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Yelimay Semey · 1.46 pts / match - Aktobe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yelimay Semey
Aktobe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Yelimay Semey | Liga | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.72 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Yelimay Semey 2 - 0 - 1 Aktobe. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Yelimay Semey 1:3 Aktobe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yelimay Semey and Aktobe?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Yelimay Semey won 2, Aktobe won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?
Yelimay Semey score 1.40 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.46. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Yelimay Semey's matches and 58% of Aktobe's.
What form are Yelimay Semey and Aktobe in?
Over the last 5 games Yelimay Semey have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aktobe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?
The statistical background for Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.