Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar: match statistics
Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yelimay Semey played Kaisar in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Yelimay Semey: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kaisar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yelimay Semey scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Kaisar scores 0.74 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yelimay Semey 65%, Kaisar 53%. Over 2.5: Yelimay Semey 53%, Kaisar 32%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Yelimay Semey has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.20. Yelimay Semey: 14.2 shots per match, Kaisar: 10.8.
Match halves
Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.94. Kaisar: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.16.
Goals by minute
Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (8 goals). Kaisar: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites appear to be the hosts Yelimay Semey; at home they score on average 1.25 goals per match and have an average xG of 1.70, whereas Kaisar score only 0.63 goals on average away with xG 1.21. The hosts attempt on average 15.13 shots per match with 5 on target, while the visitors only 10 shots with 3.38 on target, which translates into higher chance quality for the hosts and better conversion of 8% versus the visitors' 6%. The difference in form and recent results is clear: Yelimay have scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches and collected 8 points (1.6 points per match), whereas Kaisar have 3 goals and 6 points in the same period (1.2 points per match). Defensively both teams are similar in goals conceded (Yelimay concede 1.25 goals at home, Kaisar 1.38 away), but Kaisar allow on average 1.70 xG away compared to 1.28 xG allowed by the hosts, and additionally the visitors failed to score in 63% of away matches versus 13% of hosts' matches without a goal. Considering the superior quality of chances, shot volume and the low share of goalless matches for the hosts, I give Yelimay Semey the higher probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal is Kaisar’s poor finishing — they average 0.63 goals per game this season and fail to score in 63% of matches, with a season BTTS of only 38%, which strongly supports No Goal. Yelimay at home have a season BTTS of 64% and have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches (1.4 avg), indicating they can score more frequently than Kaisar. The home side’s offensive data show 11.36 shots and 3.73 on target per game with a 7% conversion rate, providing potential for the hosts to score. xG is mixed — both teams are around 1.2 xG (1.19 vs 1.21), but Kaisar concede 1.7 xG against, so the risk of Kaisar conceding rises; however their low conversion (0.63 goals) limits the probability of Goal/Goal. Considering these numbers and the league BTTS rate of 52%, I favor the No scenario and estimate approximately 35% for Yes (BTTS - Yes) and 65% for No (No Goal) as the betting recommendation.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 2.40 (Yelimay 1.19, Kaisar 1.21), and season percentages of matches over 1.5 are 64% for Yelimay and 75% for Kaisar, which provides a strong signal for at least 2 goals. In the last 5 matches Yelimay scored 7 goals (avg 1.4) and Kaisar 3 goals (avg 0.6); additionally Kaisar concedes on average 1.38 goals this season and has an xG against of 1.70, therefore I project approximately 1.40 goals for the home side and 0.95 for the away side (total 2.35). Season Over 2.5 rates are lower (Yelimay 27%, Kaisar 38%) and shot efficiency is low (conversion rate 7% vs 6% on average 11.36/10.0 shots), hence I rate Over 2.5 moderately at 36%. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (season 9% for the home team and 0% for the away, league 2.31 goals per game), so the best and strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from the fact that Yelimay Semey were level at the break in 55% of matches, and the hosts’ matches finished level as much as 73% of the time, which strongly favors the draw/draw (X/X) HT/FT scenario. The hosts lead at the break in 36% of matches, however their full-time win rate is only 9%, which suggests halftime leads rarely translate into full-time victories (1/X). Offensively the teams are balanced – xG 1.19 (Yelimay) versus 1.21 (Kaisar) and on average 3.73 vs 3.38 shots on target – and by halftime the hosts score on average 0.64 goals and concede 0.36, confirming moderate activity and a low goal volume. Therefore I assign a 55% probability to the X/X Half-Time/Full-Time outcome as the most likely, 18% to 1/X as the alternative (hosts lead 36% HT but have only 9% FT wins), and the remaining options low probabilities (including 1/1 14%, 2/2 6%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yelimay Semey | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yelimay Semey is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Yelimay Semey · 0.74 goals / match - Kaisar
Kaisar is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Yelimay Semey · 1.11 goals / match - Kaisar
Yelimay Semey scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Kaisar keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Kaisar scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yelimay Semey
Over / Under - Kaisar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kaisar is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Yelimay Semey · 1.47 pts / match - Kaisar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kaisar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yelimay Semey
Kaisar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Yelimay Semey | Liga | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.31 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 63% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 69% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Yelimay Semey 3 - 0 - 0 Kaisar. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Yelimay Semey 1:1 Kaisar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Yelimay Semey and Kaisar?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Yelimay Semey won 3, Kaisar won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar?
Yelimay Semey score 1.47 goals per game on average and Kaisar 0.74. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Yelimay Semey's matches and 53% of Kaisar's.
What form are Yelimay Semey and Kaisar in?
Over the last 5 games Yelimay Semey have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kaisar 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar?
The statistical background for Yelimay Semey vs Kaisar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.