Yeovil Town vs Fylde: match statistics

Both teams have collected 10 points from six matchdays, while their records over the last five games are identical: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 11 goals scored apiece. However, Yeovil Town have a clear advantage in chance creation at home, averaging 11.33 shots and 6.67 shots on target, compared with Fylde’s 8 and 3.67 respectively away from home. The hosts also generate a higher xG, 1.61 versus 1.09, while Fylde’s defence allows an average xGA of 1.72 and concedes 1.67 goals per away game. Both teams score 2.33 goals per match at home and away respectively, but Yeovil remain unbeaten in home fixtures, winning 67% of them. Fylde’s away conversion rate of 29% could keep the visitors in the game, but Yeovil’s greater volume of chances points towards a narrow home win.

The BTTS signal is very strong, as Yeovil have seen both teams score in 67% of their matches, while the figure for Fylde is as high as 100%. In their last five matches, both teams recorded this outcome in 80% of games, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.4. Yeovil score an average of 2.00 goals at home, while Fylde score 2.33 per match, and neither side has yet finished a match without scoring this season. Fylde’s defence has not kept a clean sheet even once and concedes an average of 1.67 goals, while Yeovil concede 1.33, supporting the scenario of goals at both ends. Current xG against both teams is also high, standing at 1.53 for Yeovil and 1.55 for Fylde, so BTTS - Yes is the most likely outcome.

Both teams have a very clear goals profile: Yeovil score an average of 2.00 goals, while Fylde average 2.33, compared with a league average of 3.06 goals per match. In their last five matches, both teams scored 2.2 goals and conceded 1.4 on average, producing a high average of 3.6 total goals per game. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 100% of the matches played by both teams so far, and neither side has been held scoreless. The hosts create chances worth 1.54 xG, while Fylde’s defence allows opponents 1.72 xG, giving Yeovil solid attacking potential. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as it is supported both by the teams’ perfect records on this line and their current scoring form.

The strongest first-half signal favors Fylde: the visitors led at the break in all 3 of their away matches to date, scoring an average of 1.67 goals before half-time. Under the same conditions, Yeovil have yet to score in the first half and have been trailing at half-time only once in 3 matches, which increases the likelihood of an away lead at the break. After half-time, however, the advantage clearly shifts to the hosts, who score an average of 2.00 goals, compared with just 0.67 for Fylde, while also conceding 1.33 goals. Yeovil’s attacking potential is supported by their higher xG of 1.54, compared with 1.09 for their opponents, while Fylde’s defense allows an average xG of 1.72. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that Fylde start better, but Yeovil complete a turnaround after half-time.