Yeovil Town vs Morecambe: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Yeovil Town is in 18th place and is in poor form over their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). However, at home, they win 37% of the time and have a positive goal difference in home fixtures (-6 GD). Morecambe, despite being 22nd in the table, shows better current form (2 wins, 2 draws in the last 5 matches) and a higher scoring efficiency away from home (1.58 goals on average), although they also concede the most goals (2.21 on average). Both teams have a similar percentage of matches without a scored goal (32% FTS), suggesting an open game. Taking into account the high average goals in both teams' matches and the balanced xG metrics, I expect a fiercely contested match ending with a share of the points, likely with a 1:1 or 2:2 scoreline.
Yeovil Town vs Morecambe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Yeovil Town played Morecambe in National League (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Yeovil Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Morecambe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Yeovil Town scores 1.03 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Morecambe scores 1.45 and concedes 2.05. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Yeovil Town 43%, Morecambe 55%. Over 2.5: Yeovil Town 46%, Morecambe 66%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Morecambe has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.22. Yeovil Town: 9.6 shots per match, Morecambe: 11.4.
Match halves
Yeovil Town: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.51. Morecambe: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Yeovil Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). Morecambe: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Yeovil Town is in 18th place and is in poor form over their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). However, at home, they win 37% of the time and have a positive goal difference in home fixtures (-6 GD). Morecambe, despite being 22nd in the table, shows better current form (2 wins, 2 draws in the last 5 matches) and a higher scoring efficiency away from home (1.58 goals on average), although they also concede the most goals (2.21 on average). Both teams have a similar percentage of matches without a scored goal (32% FTS), suggesting an open game. Taking into account the high average goals in both teams' matches and the balanced xG metrics, I expect a fiercely contested match ending with a share of the points, likely with a 1:1 or 2:2 scoreline.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Yeovil Town | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morecambe is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Yeovil Town · 1.6 pts / match - Morecambe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morecambe is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Yeovil Town · 1.45 goals / match - Morecambe
Yeovil Town is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Yeovil Town · 2.05 goals / match - Morecambe
Yeovil Town scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Morecambe scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Yeovil Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Yeovil Town
Over / Under - Morecambe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Yeovil Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Yeovil Town
Morecambe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Yeovil Town | Liga | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 81% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Yeovil Town 0 - 1 - 0 Morecambe. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Yeovil Town vs Morecambe?
The National League match finished Yeovil Town 3:2 Morecambe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Yeovil Town vs Morecambe?
Yeovil Town score 1.03 goals per game on average and Morecambe 1.45. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Yeovil Town's matches and 55% of Morecambe's.
What form are Yeovil Town and Morecambe in?
Over the last 5 games Yeovil Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Morecambe 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Yeovil Town vs Morecambe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Yeovil Town vs Morecambe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.