Yeovil Town vs Solihull Moors: match statistics

Yeovil Town have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals in the process, while Solihull Moors have failed to win any of their seven league matches this season, losing six. The hosts average 2.00 goals per game at home, whereas the visitors concede as many as 3.00 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Yeovil’s superiority is also evident in their control of the game: they average 54% possession and 5.75 shots on target per match, compared with Solihull’s 46% and 4 shots on target. However, the hosts’ defence is not flawless, allowing opponents an average xG of 1.42, while the visitors generate 1.58 xG away from home, meaning a goal for Solihull remains a realistic scenario. Nevertheless, Solihull’s run of conceding 12 goals in their last five matches, combined with an away xG against of 1.96, clearly points towards a Yeovil victory.

The signal for BTTS - Yes is very strong because neither team has kept a single clean sheet this season, while Solihull Moors have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches compared with 75% for Yeovil Town. Over the last five games, these figures stand at 80% for Yeovil and 100% for Solihull, with an average of 2.0 and 2.4 goals conceded per match, respectively. Yeovil have improved their attacking output to 2.2 goals per game across their last five, while their opponents conceded 2.4 goals on average during this period, clearly increasing the hosts’ chances of scoring. Solihull have recently averaged 1.0 goal per game, but Yeovil allow opponents an average xG of 1.67, while the visitors create 1.89 xG on average, making their goal equally likely. Both teams also have high seasonal attacking xG figures of 1.72 and 1.58, combined with weak defensive averages of 2.5 and 3.0 goals conceded, respectively. Therefore, a Goal/Goal scenario is more likely, with both teams expected to score.

Both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in every match played so far this season, while the league average stands at a high 3.13 goals. Yeovil have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in their last five matches, whereas Solihull Moors have conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.72 xG, while the visitors’ defence allows opponents 1.96 xG; in turn, the visitors register 1.58 xG, compared with Yeovil’s 1.68 xG conceded. Furthermore, neither team has kept a single clean sheet, while Over 2.5 has landed in 100% and 80% of their last five matches, respectively. The strongest and least risky signal remains Over 1.5, as the numbers indicate a high probability of at least two goals even with below-average finishing.

Yeovil Town have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals during this period, while Solihull Moors have failed to win any of their matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. The hosts also have the more favourable chance-creation metrics: their average xG stands at 1.72 compared with 1.58 for the visitors, while their opponents allow an average xG of 1.96. Yeovil were leading at the break in 40% of their last five matches, while Solihull were trailing after 45 minutes in 40%, supporting the HT/FT scenario of a home lead at half-time. After the interval, Yeovil have recently averaged 1.6 goals, whereas the visitors have remained winless in second halves, making a home win at full-time the most likely outcome. However, both defences are vulnerable to conceding, so the X/1 scenario—level at half-time followed by a Yeovil win at full-time—also remains significant.