Yokohama vs Imabari: match statistics

Yokohama have won 3 of their 6 league matches and sit 7th, while Imabari have just 1 win, 4 defeats and are 20th in the standings. The hosts average 3.33 goals per home game, compared with just 0.67 for the visitors away from home, with Imabari failing to score in 33% of such matches. Yokohama average 6.67 shots on target per game compared with Imabari’s 2.67, while their conversion rate stands at 27% versus just 6% for their opponents. The visitors’ defence concedes 2.33 goals per away game and have kept no clean sheets, which, combined with the hosts’ xG of 1.68, creates clear conditions for a Yokohama victory. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have scored 13 goals and collected 10 points in their last five matches, while Imabari have picked up 7.

The case for goals from both sides is strengthened by current form: in their last 5 matches, both Yokohama and Imabari recorded BTTS in 60% of games. During this period, Yokohama averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Imabari scored 1.4 and also conceded 1.4 goals per match. The visitors’ defence looks particularly vulnerable, as Imabari have kept no clean sheets this season and concede an average of 2.33 goals. However, Imabari have a lower attacking efficiency, averaging 0.67 goals this season with just 6% shot conversion, which limits confidence in the pick. Nevertheless, Yokohama allow opponents an average of 1.50 xG, while both teams produce 2.67 shots on target per match. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the more likely outcome.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams recorded at least 2 total goals in 67% of Yokohama’s matches and as many as 100% of Imabari’s. In their last five appearances, Yokohama averaged 2.6 goals scored, while Imabari averaged 1.4, with both teams conceding 1.4 goals per match. During this period, the hosts generated an xG of 1.94, clearly above Imabari’s 1.07. However, the visitors have kept no clean sheets all season and concede an average of 2.33 goals. Over 2.5 goals also has a solid basis, having landed in 80% of Yokohama’s and 60% of Imabari’s last five matches, but the 1.5 line offers a significantly greater safety margin. The projected 2.83 goals is driven by the hosts’ strong recent attacking output and the vulnerability of both defenses.

The strongest HT/FT option is Yokohama leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes (1/1), as the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Imabari have lost 2 of 5. During this period, Yokohama averaged 2.6 goals per match compared with Imabari’s 1.4, and their advantage is already evident before half-time: they were leading at the break in 60% of matches, compared with 40% for the visitors. The hosts scored an average of 1.2 goals in the first halves, twice as many as Imabari’s 0.6, and they have not been trailing at half-time in any of their last five appearances. After the break, Yokohama continue to offer offensive strength, averaging 1.4 goals scored, while Imabari concede an average of 1.2 goals in that period. In addition, the visitors are still without a win this season and concede an average of 2.33 goals per match, further strengthening the scenario in which the hosts maintain their lead.